{"paper":{"title":"A Telemetry-Driven Model for Quantifying Upgrade Risk in Durable Workflow Execution","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.DC"],"primary_cat":"cs.SE","authors_text":"Luca Maraschi, Matteo Collina","submitted_at":"2026-07-15T09:07:34Z","abstract_excerpt":"Durable workflow engines reconstruct execution state by deterministically replaying an immutable event log, coupling every in-flight run to the code version that produced its history: a new deployment can invalidate the replay of runs started under the old version, silently corrupting state or halting progress. Existing mitigations -- pinning, patch gates, side-by-side deployment -- treat every change as maximally dangerous and drain old versions, untenable for workflows that sleep for weeks.\n  We present a closed-form probabilistic model that quantifies the risk of upgrading in-flight runs fr"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2607.13617","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2607.13617/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}