{"paper":{"title":"Disentangling conviction and conformity: a Bayesian ideal point model of voting behaviour in online debates","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["stat.ME"],"primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","authors_text":"Elena Candellone","submitted_at":"2026-06-02T15:38:36Z","abstract_excerpt":"Online debate platforms offer a unique window into the mechanisms driving opinion formation: they capture both explicit political preferences and the peer environment in which those preferences are expressed. In this work, I develop a Bayesian logistic regression model, inspired by ideal point models from political science, to disentangle two competing mechanisms of voting behaviour in online debates: conviction, driven by prior ideological beliefs, and conformity, driven by peer influence. I apply this framework to the Debate.org dataset, comprising approximately 341k votes across 78k debates"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.03786","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.03786/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}