{"paper":{"title":"Assimilation of machine learning-predicted nitrate to improve the quality of phytoplankton forecasting in the shelf sea environment","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"q-bio.QM","authors_text":"David Ford, Deep S Banerjee, Jozef Skakala","submitted_at":"2025-08-04T13:26:16Z","abstract_excerpt":"We demonstrate that assimilating Neural Network (NN)-predicted surface nitrate leads to a major improvement in phytoplankton short-range (1-5 day) dynamical model forecasts for the North-West European Shelf (NWES) seas. We show that assimilation of only ocean color chlorophyll-$a$ in the current Met Office NWES operational system can lead to excess surface nitrate concentrations in the post-Spring bloom period and these are a major reason behind some known, fast-growing biases in NWES phytoplankton forecasts during late Spring and Summer. Assimilating observations of nitrate would potentially "},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2508.02400","kind":"arxiv","version":2},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2508.02400/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}