{"paper":{"title":"Population-level correlations in Bayesian statistics: an illustrative model for gravitational-wave astronomy","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["astro-ph.HE"],"primary_cat":"gr-qc","authors_text":"Alexandre Toubiana, Caroline B. Owen, Davide Gerosa","submitted_at":"2026-06-19T03:55:04Z","abstract_excerpt":"With increasingly large numbers of gravitational-wave events, population inference is now beginning to move beyond predictions of marginal distributions and to probe correlations between compact-binary parameters such as masses, spins, and redshifts. These correlations have strong constraining power for both astrophysics and tests of general relativity. In this paper, we present an idealized analytical model to study the interplay between single-event correlations, systematic biases, and population-level correlations. With this, we investigate the potential emergence of false-positive measurem"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.21076","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.21076/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"}