{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2020:5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z","short_pith_number":"pith:5ICHL7KE","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2009.12176","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2020-07-22T08:30:08Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"13fc43787ef1f53afe38e36751e9a95337f44a45eae57a9feb1aa337fb572400","abstract_canon_sha256":"e484739ab48c0f8f67beed5aafccd47da6c160f4502ebc9d798aa9560af61a2b"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"ea0475fd4494b730edeaafe8acc7dad66d984d955b2cbb1f616af2cbee67f97e","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2009.12176","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2009.12176","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2009.12176v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2009.12176","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"5ICHL7KESS3T","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"5ICHL7KESS3TB3PK","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"5ICHL7KE","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2020:5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2009.12176","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2020-07-22T08:30:08Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"13fc43787ef1f53afe38e36751e9a95337f44a45eae57a9feb1aa337fb572400","abstract_canon_sha256":"e484739ab48c0f8f67beed5aafccd47da6c160f4502ebc9d798aa9560af61a2b"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"ea0475fd4494b730edeaafe8acc7dad66d984d955b2cbb1f616af2cbee67f97e","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31.454307Z","signature_b64":"IObofKJl8sze8LUdcvEMGiSmnVIWOvK/KC+XhHLhHydo5gaXEN6b/o1P87mBMgpaNC34Pqn5PY8b+L4O8TQSDA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"ea0475fd4494b730edeaafe8acc7dad66d984d955b2cbb1f616af2cbee67f97e","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31.453773Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31.453773Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2009.12176","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"ArLmUs1kRgSuwPWJObNAbfgqsnQzXIHcfYyyk3F8VdiGzpC1bOPRHdPPcHRo2rxJIrmLJPbhxsXP/dea5EjtCQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T05:24:48.759694Z"},"content_sha256":"15380744efa3aec24ac9756f29c32622134cd9d5cb0a584731b42a68dc156689","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:15380744efa3aec24ac9756f29c32622134cd9d5cb0a584731b42a68dc156689"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2020:5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"COVID-19 Pandemic Prediction using Time Series Forecasting Models","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","authors_text":"Naresh Kumar, Seba Susan","submitted_at":"2020-07-22T08:30:08Z","abstract_excerpt":"Millions of people have been infected and lakhs of people have lost their lives due to the worldwide ongoing novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate for advance preparation in the healthcare services to avoid deaths. Accurately forecasting the spread of COVID-19 is an analytical and challenging real-world problem to the research community. Therefore, we use day level information of COVID-19 spread for cumulative cases from whole world and 10 mostly affected countries; US, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, Ru"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2009.12176","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2009.12176/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"kh6qFhIKBOjs3RUgGhaZfWWkZO0vsw+Otn4oOhCFUiouRoHyUrsk5COKbiDG5tQ4pWcyP2KamxQ7G4W1eLGLAw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T05:24:48.760625Z"},"content_sha256":"5a9115cebe6a3598e7cb331bb4476773af8a8459445eaef371f527ef2769098d","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:5a9115cebe6a3598e7cb331bb4476773af8a8459445eaef371f527ef2769098d"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-04T05:24:48Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2020:5ICHL7KESS3TB3PKV7UKZR622Z","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"e484739ab48c0f8f67beed5aafccd47da6c160f4502ebc9d798aa9560af61a2b","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2020-07-22T08:30:08Z","title_canon_sha256":"13fc43787ef1f53afe38e36751e9a95337f44a45eae57a9feb1aa337fb572400"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2009.12176","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2009.12176","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2009.12176v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2009.12176","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"5ICHL7KESS3T","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"5ICHL7KESS3TB3PK","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"5ICHL7KE","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:5a9115cebe6a3598e7cb331bb4476773af8a8459445eaef371f527ef2769098d","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2009.12176/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Millions of people have been infected and lakhs of people have lost their lives due to the worldwide ongoing novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate for advance preparation in the healthcare services to avoid deaths. Accurately forecasting the spread of COVID-19 is an analytical and challenging real-world problem to the research community. Therefore, we use day level information of COVID-19 spread for cumulative cases from whole world and 10 mostly affected countries; US, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, Ru","authors_text":"Naresh Kumar, Seba Susan","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2020-07-22T08:30:08Z","title":"COVID-19 Pandemic Prediction using Time Series Forecasting Models"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2009.12176","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:15380744efa3aec24ac9756f29c32622134cd9d5cb0a584731b42a68dc156689","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"e484739ab48c0f8f67beed5aafccd47da6c160f4502ebc9d798aa9560af61a2b","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2020-07-22T08:30:08Z","title_canon_sha256":"13fc43787ef1f53afe38e36751e9a95337f44a45eae57a9feb1aa337fb572400"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2009.12176","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"ea0475fd4494b730edeaafe8acc7dad66d984d955b2cbb1f616af2cbee67f97e","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"ea0475fd4494b730edeaafe8acc7dad66d984d955b2cbb1f616af2cbee67f97e","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31.453773Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31.453773Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"IObofKJl8sze8LUdcvEMGiSmnVIWOvK/KC+XhHLhHydo5gaXEN6b/o1P87mBMgpaNC34Pqn5PY8b+L4O8TQSDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T02:36:31.454307Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2009.12176","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:15380744efa3aec24ac9756f29c32622134cd9d5cb0a584731b42a68dc156689","sha256:5a9115cebe6a3598e7cb331bb4476773af8a8459445eaef371f527ef2769098d"],"state_sha256":"ad8524ea107317f949b4431751b98f25e3527cf7d8e4bfcd6ef4078a34b86972"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"LMxSzV8M6NuxFr/MvOEeaEDQH8NxUCOnANu/hqBC2toydOxOTIFsNEpSl0xM3rs630KEUYh9jo7W/CyD0X2CDQ==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T05:24:48.766487Z","bundle_sha256":"13c5f1d404e7e65555d8c4b552f32081bd42bc1a8f59b521a47693b83acb9647"}}