{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2012:7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK","short_pith_number":"pith:7IVLVSXK","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1205.3645","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2012-05-16T12:05:20Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"98731392ea336c667c8b45b90f4edf7c0b8234a58aed6774d174830f4b0825c2","abstract_canon_sha256":"5e049b6a3f1c9a0c4ffb8cb2b4a9bae828f87b0283fbeab783a6f6a6033f9f35"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"fa2abacaeac816e1034d5435d212818abb7f3b877e81a47d4bd3e2c0d7aedf23","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1205.3645","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1205.3645","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1205.3645v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1205.3645","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"7IVLVSXKZALO","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"7IVLVSXKZALOCA2N","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"7IVLVSXK","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:56Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2012:7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1205.3645","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2012-05-16T12:05:20Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"98731392ea336c667c8b45b90f4edf7c0b8234a58aed6774d174830f4b0825c2","abstract_canon_sha256":"5e049b6a3f1c9a0c4ffb8cb2b4a9bae828f87b0283fbeab783a6f6a6033f9f35"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"fa2abacaeac816e1034d5435d212818abb7f3b877e81a47d4bd3e2c0d7aedf23","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34.534280Z","signature_b64":"AMtuKyAovL3eThE9ZyxhGRAZhtIV0X2mO+BkaCXKAdvWI2Vs5UCFoiD6GvaI1uPrRmFRt/nq8l6bMF+iEP2nCA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"fa2abacaeac816e1034d5435d212818abb7f3b877e81a47d4bd3e2c0d7aedf23","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34.533607Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34.533607Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1205.3645","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"sslBwpiioQ0nC7LtebndghSuhQhQqKNepSZSabgDHpLgfu0kg0CRmlbVim4VkSXqx7ikhGMWaeP+ttpJ8qq9Aw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-30T23:20:46.924616Z"},"content_sha256":"624b869c54b05593b59b35b9daa7dd4fc49d66d2e068d2937fe1ccdc2d7667f7","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:624b869c54b05593b59b35b9daa7dd4fc49d66d2e068d2937fe1ccdc2d7667f7"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2012:7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Forensic Analysis of the Venezuelan Recall Referendum","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.ME","authors_text":"Ra\\'ul Jim\\'enez","submitted_at":"2012-05-16T12:05:20Z","abstract_excerpt":"The best way to reconcile political actors in a controversial electoral process is a full audit. When this is not possible, statistical tools may be useful for measuring the likelihood of the results. The Venezuelan recall referendum (2004) provides a suitable dataset for thinking about this important problem. The cost of errors in examining an allegation of electoral fraud can be enormous. They can range from legitimizing an unfair election to supporting an unfounded accusation, with serious political implications. For this reason, we must be very selective about data, hypotheses and test sta"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1205.3645","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"QG0CDsMKLC+PvT+qST1Vv4Ajys8G0qm6dIO0jGvBLq+09zoWluzwCuylkUf0VF2XrLRIyOiRK/WKbOlLEU5VCg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-30T23:20:46.924965Z"},"content_sha256":"50eeb4e254047012ca3cd9ed33772637c0dd0055c9fb37d1baa7509f0255d9e8","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:50eeb4e254047012ca3cd9ed33772637c0dd0055c9fb37d1baa7509f0255d9e8"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-30T23:20:46Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2012:7IVLVSXKZALOCA2NKQ25EEUBRK","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"5e049b6a3f1c9a0c4ffb8cb2b4a9bae828f87b0283fbeab783a6f6a6033f9f35","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2012-05-16T12:05:20Z","title_canon_sha256":"98731392ea336c667c8b45b90f4edf7c0b8234a58aed6774d174830f4b0825c2"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1205.3645","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1205.3645","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1205.3645v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1205.3645","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"7IVLVSXKZALO","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"7IVLVSXKZALOCA2N","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:56Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"7IVLVSXK","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:26:56Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:50eeb4e254047012ca3cd9ed33772637c0dd0055c9fb37d1baa7509f0255d9e8","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"The best way to reconcile political actors in a controversial electoral process is a full audit. When this is not possible, statistical tools may be useful for measuring the likelihood of the results. The Venezuelan recall referendum (2004) provides a suitable dataset for thinking about this important problem. The cost of errors in examining an allegation of electoral fraud can be enormous. They can range from legitimizing an unfair election to supporting an unfounded accusation, with serious political implications. For this reason, we must be very selective about data, hypotheses and test sta","authors_text":"Ra\\'ul Jim\\'enez","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2012-05-16T12:05:20Z","title":"Forensic Analysis of the Venezuelan Recall Referendum"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1205.3645","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:624b869c54b05593b59b35b9daa7dd4fc49d66d2e068d2937fe1ccdc2d7667f7","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"5e049b6a3f1c9a0c4ffb8cb2b4a9bae828f87b0283fbeab783a6f6a6033f9f35","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2012-05-16T12:05:20Z","title_canon_sha256":"98731392ea336c667c8b45b90f4edf7c0b8234a58aed6774d174830f4b0825c2"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1205.3645","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"fa2abacaeac816e1034d5435d212818abb7f3b877e81a47d4bd3e2c0d7aedf23","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"fa2abacaeac816e1034d5435d212818abb7f3b877e81a47d4bd3e2c0d7aedf23","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34.533607Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34.533607Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"AMtuKyAovL3eThE9ZyxhGRAZhtIV0X2mO+BkaCXKAdvWI2Vs5UCFoiD6GvaI1uPrRmFRt/nq8l6bMF+iEP2nCA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:55:34.534280Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1205.3645","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:624b869c54b05593b59b35b9daa7dd4fc49d66d2e068d2937fe1ccdc2d7667f7","sha256:50eeb4e254047012ca3cd9ed33772637c0dd0055c9fb37d1baa7509f0255d9e8"],"state_sha256":"e434a6774ac6e7e9c8a94c7b9803e6a0e101d77e5595f629035aec68353ff17a"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"17jOzq6PtQ+21JwDAxBASKUQKUnJrNIA8v77zopA+K4L0qMm/MriNlEg4HnXsnoZ7i9nQU85AS+dxzfhZkSoDg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-30T23:20:46.927122Z","bundle_sha256":"cc6cbb533ffbde130b59a0023b6e19364311d5f1f338eaa53c1da76bf16cc72f"}}