{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2012:CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA","short_pith_number":"pith:CZVTTLCZ","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1212.6676","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2012-12-30T00:39:05Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"4b324aca543ccbb7cb972f37566266f0ffaceb44141c7dc73863e043fc3ea2e8","abstract_canon_sha256":"0183f37dbd8acfe40c3d61780a46e81c8e41024b2e868d110566697ce6de6ffb"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"166b39ac59f761785c5645e9d15132001715b68822e2d5b957c5e701710b61bc","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"1212.6676","version":4},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1212.6676","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1212.6676v4","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1212.6676","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"CZVTTLCZ65QX","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:01Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCW","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:01Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"CZVTTLCZ","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:01Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2012:CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"1212.6676","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"metadata":{"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2012-12-30T00:39:05Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"4b324aca543ccbb7cb972f37566266f0ffaceb44141c7dc73863e043fc3ea2e8","abstract_canon_sha256":"0183f37dbd8acfe40c3d61780a46e81c8e41024b2e868d110566697ce6de6ffb"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"166b39ac59f761785c5645e9d15132001715b68822e2d5b957c5e701710b61bc","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15.021279Z","signature_b64":"LKkKRw5c2yFbetRQBNZhCTHdoteMq7qO04OKV62/0IGKCYUBK8HSpQa01GMd4KaVUAUJpsyBuVwwoa7tJKarAw==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"166b39ac59f761785c5645e9d15132001715b68822e2d5b957c5e701710b61bc","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15.020834Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15.020834Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"1212.6676","source_version":4,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"tOZX3Y7wN5PySQpN2J4rvsGT4ieN+mEiOkWdTD5e01qIg6wJUYRB102DIRzNWCQVSJw0vNAmS9nRQSFOb4zWBg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-23T17:42:38.468089Z"},"content_sha256":"cf0d2a4cf3b2cdc624ccd982a39532153251852105da14da34bb3027ab6ec279","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:cf0d2a4cf3b2cdc624ccd982a39532153251852105da14da34bb3027ab6ec279"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2012:CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Results on Three predictions on July 2012 Federal Elections in Mexico based on past regularities","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","authors_text":"H. Hern\\'andez-Salda\\~na","submitted_at":"2012-12-30T00:39:05Z","abstract_excerpt":"The Presidential Election in Mexico of July 2012 has been the third time that PREP, Previous Electoral Results Program works. PREP gives voting outcomes based in electoral certificates of each polling station that arrive to capture centers. In previous ones, some statistical regularities had been observed, three of them were selected to make predictions and were published in \\texttt{arXiv:1207.0078 [physics.soc-ph]}. Using the database made public in July 2012, two of the predictions were completely fulfilled, while, the third one was measured and confirmed using the database obtained upon req"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1212.6676","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"tOOEPZstfsaN2nAi+b+kI+Xwwy/NF+nUIl0XDvClbJTDhYgN1gKIyMKJxT44bLm7lgHgJMWOsIgiJy+5NfbuCg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-23T17:42:38.468453Z"},"content_sha256":"0649fde9ec202f7750bfb04df945037b415d12e0b1e60350b57dafee1c70e954","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:0649fde9ec202f7750bfb04df945037b415d12e0b1e60350b57dafee1c70e954"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-06-23T17:42:38Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2012:CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCWIXU5CUJSAA","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"0183f37dbd8acfe40c3d61780a46e81c8e41024b2e868d110566697ce6de6ffb","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2012-12-30T00:39:05Z","title_canon_sha256":"4b324aca543ccbb7cb972f37566266f0ffaceb44141c7dc73863e043fc3ea2e8"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1212.6676","kind":"arxiv","version":4}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1212.6676","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1212.6676v4","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1212.6676","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"CZVTTLCZ65QX","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:01Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"CZVTTLCZ65QXQXCW","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:01Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"CZVTTLCZ","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:01Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:0649fde9ec202f7750bfb04df945037b415d12e0b1e60350b57dafee1c70e954","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"The Presidential Election in Mexico of July 2012 has been the third time that PREP, Previous Electoral Results Program works. PREP gives voting outcomes based in electoral certificates of each polling station that arrive to capture centers. In previous ones, some statistical regularities had been observed, three of them were selected to make predictions and were published in \\texttt{arXiv:1207.0078 [physics.soc-ph]}. Using the database made public in July 2012, two of the predictions were completely fulfilled, while, the third one was measured and confirmed using the database obtained upon req","authors_text":"H. Hern\\'andez-Salda\\~na","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2012-12-30T00:39:05Z","title":"Results on Three predictions on July 2012 Federal Elections in Mexico based on past regularities"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1212.6676","kind":"arxiv","version":4},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:cf0d2a4cf3b2cdc624ccd982a39532153251852105da14da34bb3027ab6ec279","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"0183f37dbd8acfe40c3d61780a46e81c8e41024b2e868d110566697ce6de6ffb","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"physics.soc-ph","submitted_at":"2012-12-30T00:39:05Z","title_canon_sha256":"4b324aca543ccbb7cb972f37566266f0ffaceb44141c7dc73863e043fc3ea2e8"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1212.6676","kind":"arxiv","version":4}},"canonical_sha256":"166b39ac59f761785c5645e9d15132001715b68822e2d5b957c5e701710b61bc","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"166b39ac59f761785c5645e9d15132001715b68822e2d5b957c5e701710b61bc","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15.020834Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15.020834Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"LKkKRw5c2yFbetRQBNZhCTHdoteMq7qO04OKV62/0IGKCYUBK8HSpQa01GMd4KaVUAUJpsyBuVwwoa7tJKarAw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T02:57:15.021279Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1212.6676","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":4}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:cf0d2a4cf3b2cdc624ccd982a39532153251852105da14da34bb3027ab6ec279","sha256:0649fde9ec202f7750bfb04df945037b415d12e0b1e60350b57dafee1c70e954"],"state_sha256":"cfd376821b97cdab1a8cab369dcae8e67f1885db47b4099c96efe850b55aa116"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"sPpwAtWZfH1CSv0wENA0xdAL1FbT2rWRz3z8XZVCb2ICp61IipDNNb5Xs/JPAQpQf5R3B3Q+b3NOAYlIzwwiAg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-06-23T17:42:38.470390Z","bundle_sha256":"6d3bd2339749c7421f19f75d56d8bf1dcde35349f13c1c8f344af84878cc4b83"}}