{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2013:P5I2Y7IEGZMDAVGGXGQ7A2YYWR","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"ab26fff3bbed3d34f5fb4b47cee9d99595df84bb59ee7e9b3d6e58b96f629d75","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.AI","submitted_at":"2013-02-06T15:53:56Z","title_canon_sha256":"3ae259a6ece5c23645b66c02078fbc5961288927f0b3acddeeb6d51cf16c96fd"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1302.1523","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1302.1523","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1302.1523v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1302.1523","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"P5I2Y7IEGZMD","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:54Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"P5I2Y7IEGZMDAVGG","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:54Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"P5I2Y7IE","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:54Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:27f0b9880631df833c37d2da625d15f503388831c63319273d72ac6bacb54b69","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Performance prediction or forecasting sporting outcomes involves a great deal of insight into the particular area one is dealing with, and a considerable amount of intuition about the factors that bear on such outcomes and performances.  The mathematical Theory of Evidence offers representation formalisms which grant experts a high degree of freedom when expressing their subjective beliefs in the context of decision-making situations like performance prediction.  Furthermore, this reasoning framework incorporates a powerful mechanism to systematically pool the decisions made by individual subj","authors_text":"Alex G. Buchner, Alfons Schuster, David A. Bell, John A. White, John G. Hughes, John M.C.C. Anderson, Kenny Adamson, Maurice D. Mulvenna, Peter G. O'Donoghue, Philippe Lopes, Werner Dubitzky","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.AI","submitted_at":"2013-02-06T15:53:56Z","title":"Corporate Evidential Decision Making in Performance Prediction Domains"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1302.1523","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:f56184ec50cf2a8e32371a7bd68eea918cfc6846fc8ffab627709f63e3fec269","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"ab26fff3bbed3d34f5fb4b47cee9d99595df84bb59ee7e9b3d6e58b96f629d75","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.AI","submitted_at":"2013-02-06T15:53:56Z","title_canon_sha256":"3ae259a6ece5c23645b66c02078fbc5961288927f0b3acddeeb6d51cf16c96fd"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1302.1523","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"7f51ac7d0436583054c6b9a1f06b18b46c6c6feafd89f3dc78da52c5e92b25bb","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"7f51ac7d0436583054c6b9a1f06b18b46c6c6feafd89f3dc78da52c5e92b25bb","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23.979927Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23.979927Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"m/3RJScMJXNe4UUIlxPOIKGzf4Y9zRglBlbYGiRO4T7/EBOxP7P/tdXW/+z5xXqaeewKUZeger9OX8R+kCltDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:34:23.980448Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1302.1523","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:f56184ec50cf2a8e32371a7bd68eea918cfc6846fc8ffab627709f63e3fec269","sha256:27f0b9880631df833c37d2da625d15f503388831c63319273d72ac6bacb54b69"],"state_sha256":"5cc6c85820a082170bb252b466152c95e0c710c53564933fdcd081e912a5fa45"}