{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW","short_pith_number":"pith:UU77QKL5","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2606.22719","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:04Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"title_canon_sha256":"6916f8e5619d5fae597cedd9779defaf731b97bd81a7f67db6bd1570e7720d50","abstract_canon_sha256":"cd005a9ea34741ea82f4d84dd162851dc5ffa5a7a7576d0809b063badc600cbb"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"a53ff8297dd658595b1668d9b621f58d8b450f036c53c32c976d42f08689cf57","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2606.22719","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2606.22719","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2606.22719v1","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2606.22719","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"UU77QKL52ZMF","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"UU77QKL52ZMFSWYW","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"UU77QKL5","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2606.22719","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:04Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"title_canon_sha256":"6916f8e5619d5fae597cedd9779defaf731b97bd81a7f67db6bd1570e7720d50","abstract_canon_sha256":"cd005a9ea34741ea82f4d84dd162851dc5ffa5a7a7576d0809b063badc600cbb"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"a53ff8297dd658595b1668d9b621f58d8b450f036c53c32c976d42f08689cf57","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45.622889Z","signature_b64":"ZTscdzmIKorVXy4qqsIjiznkNR9o8t2mwdkzYUMt9YTYa+cjH2Vo8kgOuRY7UBKouJS8uMoataExPS65G6IYAA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"a53ff8297dd658595b1668d9b621f58d8b450f036c53c32c976d42f08689cf57","last_reissued_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45.622482Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45.622482Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2606.22719","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"1Er9oKNb9jd7wGBfywF9RxpCQgeZ1GnTt3FVBa0aOYNzPNsOY7IpV/OaRRjHBT/olkhGEVdZp8q+1rU2FjP4Cg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-07-04T22:47:13.342265Z"},"content_sha256":"18a39bc62083e406a4f9ed9edd508c27de4554dae832096467dc31f89794e41e","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:18a39bc62083e406a4f9ed9edd508c27de4554dae832096467dc31f89794e41e"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2026:UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Leakage-Aware Benchmarking of LLM Forecasting: Real-Time Nowcasts as the Decision-Time Input for Macro Factor Ranking","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.AI"],"primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","authors_text":"Mao Guan, Qian Chen","submitted_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:04Z","abstract_excerpt":"Forecasting benchmarks for retrieval-augmented LLMs routinely confound model capability with information leakage: features labeled with a target's timestamp are often not observable at the system's decision time. We study leakage-controlled equity factor ranking with a retrieval-augmented 7B open-source LLM forecaster. At each month-end from 2023-04 to 2026-03, the forecaster observes only decision-time information: lag-shifted FRED macro variables, recent macro-event summaries, and the Cleveland Fed's archived daily CPI nowcast for unreleased current-month inflation. A macro-analog retrieval "},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.22719","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2606.22719/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"G0Ge3Ve1lkdkAragk26Oz+2IPVsC2GzEqj0Ym36uz6vddF74zW5Tnadb1vkaRLwB0aTEVrnHYKmas2ZDY6/6Bw==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-07-04T22:47:13.342660Z"},"content_sha256":"77e429f416d240eb0c94b73c0a81c72afc308f95200e158409cc56aed53318cd","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:77e429f416d240eb0c94b73c0a81c72afc308f95200e158409cc56aed53318cd"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-07-04T22:47:13Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:UU77QKL52ZMFSWYWNDM3MIPVRW","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"cd005a9ea34741ea82f4d84dd162851dc5ffa5a7a7576d0809b063badc600cbb","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:04Z","title_canon_sha256":"6916f8e5619d5fae597cedd9779defaf731b97bd81a7f67db6bd1570e7720d50"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2606.22719","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2606.22719","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2606.22719v1","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2606.22719","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"UU77QKL52ZMF","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"UU77QKL52ZMFSWYW","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"UU77QKL5","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:77e429f416d240eb0c94b73c0a81c72afc308f95200e158409cc56aed53318cd","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2606.22719/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Forecasting benchmarks for retrieval-augmented LLMs routinely confound model capability with information leakage: features labeled with a target's timestamp are often not observable at the system's decision time. We study leakage-controlled equity factor ranking with a retrieval-augmented 7B open-source LLM forecaster. At each month-end from 2023-04 to 2026-03, the forecaster observes only decision-time information: lag-shifted FRED macro variables, recent macro-event summaries, and the Cleveland Fed's archived daily CPI nowcast for unreleased current-month inflation. A macro-analog retrieval ","authors_text":"Mao Guan, Qian Chen","cross_cats":["cs.AI"],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:04Z","title":"Leakage-Aware Benchmarking of LLM Forecasting: Real-Time Nowcasts as the Decision-Time Input for Macro Factor Ranking"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2606.22719","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:18a39bc62083e406a4f9ed9edd508c27de4554dae832096467dc31f89794e41e","target":"record","created_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"cd005a9ea34741ea82f4d84dd162851dc5ffa5a7a7576d0809b063badc600cbb","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"q-fin.ST","submitted_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:04Z","title_canon_sha256":"6916f8e5619d5fae597cedd9779defaf731b97bd81a7f67db6bd1570e7720d50"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2606.22719","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"a53ff8297dd658595b1668d9b621f58d8b450f036c53c32c976d42f08689cf57","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"a53ff8297dd658595b1668d9b621f58d8b450f036c53c32c976d42f08689cf57","first_computed_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45.622482Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45.622482Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"ZTscdzmIKorVXy4qqsIjiznkNR9o8t2mwdkzYUMt9YTYa+cjH2Vo8kgOuRY7UBKouJS8uMoataExPS65G6IYAA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-06-23T02:13:45.622889Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2606.22719","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:18a39bc62083e406a4f9ed9edd508c27de4554dae832096467dc31f89794e41e","sha256:77e429f416d240eb0c94b73c0a81c72afc308f95200e158409cc56aed53318cd"],"state_sha256":"c76d647239c8bf92a01c92e0aa99705612b46d10324363af9a0b7828072e01ff"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"WSInWMMVHUxb4J7LEPcWeshU1iAEcaa0qOS/dH1uNAMxmZki/07X7nJlbvmENBe2VhdaqFqmy1ImsAvQ24wpDg==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-07-04T22:47:13.344874Z","bundle_sha256":"766f4de111aab566de5bb483647602385ce3906950d0bc3b27c8775fa0260fdf"}}