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Atmospheric Predictability Beyond 30 Days with Machine Learning

physics.ao-ph · 2025-04-28 · conditional · novelty 6.0

Optimizing the initial conditions of a machine-learning weather model against reanalysis data cuts 10-day forecast error by 86% and extends the apparent forecast-skill horizon beyond 30 days, though the optimization requires knowledge of the future it is trying to predict.

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  • Atmospheric Predictability Beyond 30 Days with Machine Learning physics.ao-ph · 2025-04-28 · conditional · none · ref 2

    Optimizing the initial conditions of a machine-learning weather model against reanalysis data cuts 10-day forecast error by 86% and extends the apparent forecast-skill horizon beyond 30 days, though the optimization requires knowledge of the future it is trying to predict.