Discontinuity forecasting predicts a county's anxiety jump and slope change after a major event from pre-event trends, reaching out-of-sample correlations of about .76 and .87.
The uk’s public health response to covid-19, 2020
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Inferring Effects of Major Events through Discontinuity Forecasting of Population Anxiety
Discontinuity forecasting predicts a county's anxiety jump and slope change after a major event from pre-event trends, reaching out-of-sample correlations of about .76 and .87.