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A reanalysis of the latest SH0ES data for $H_0$: Effects of new degrees of freedom on the Hubble tension

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arxiv 2208.11169 v3 pith:IUMBG6T2 submitted 2022-08-23 astro-ph.CO gr-qchep-ph

classification astro-ph.COgr-qchep-ph
keywords distancevaluesniaanalysisbestmodelparameterssh0es
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

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abstract

We reanalyze the recently released SH0ES data for the determination of $H_0$. We focus on testing the homogeneity of the Cepheid+SnIa sample and the robustness of the results in the presence of new degrees of freedom in the modeling of Cepheids and SnIa. We thus focus on the four modeling parameters of the analysis: the fiducial luminosity of SnIa $M_B$ and Cepheids $M_W$ and the two parameters ($b_W$ and $Z_W$) standardizing Cepheid luminosities with period and metallicity. After reproducing the SH0ES baseline model results, we allow for a transition of the value of any one of these parameters at a given distance $D_c$ or cosmic time $t_c$ thus adding a single degree of freedom in the analysis. When the SnIa absolute magnitude $M_B$ is allowed to have a transition at $D_c\simeq 50Mpc$ (about $160Myrs$ ago), the best fit value of the Hubble parameter drops from $H_{0}=73.04\pm1.04\,km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}$ to $H_0=67.32\pm 4.64\, km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}$ in full consistency with the Planck value. Also, the best fit SnIa absolute magnitude $M_B^>$ for $D>D_c$ drops to the Planck inverse distance ladder value $M_{B}^>=-19.43\pm 0.15$ while the low distance best fit $M_B^<$ parameter remains close to the original distance ladder calibrated value $M_{B}^<=-19.25\pm 0.03$. Similar hints for a transition behavior is found for the other three main parameters of the analysis ($b_W$, $M_W$ and $Z_W$) at the same critical distance $D_c\simeq 50\,Mpc$ even though in that case the best fit value of $H_0$ is not significantly affected. When the inverse distance ladder constraint on $M_B^>$ is included in the analysis, the uncertainties for $H_0$ reduce dramatically ($H_0= 68.2\pm 0.8\, km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}$) and the $M_B$ transition model is strongly preferred over the baseline SH0ES model ($\Delta \chi^2 \simeq -15$, $\Delta AIC \simeq -13$) according to AIC and BIC model selection criteria.

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Cited by 5 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Controlled Tension Forecasting: Quantifying Cross-Probe Biases in $\omega_0\omega_a$CDM

    astro-ph.CO 2025-12 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Controlled mock analyses show that cross-probe calibration tensions — in matter density, H0, supernova brightness, or sound horizon — can fake 3–10σ apparent dynamical-dark-energy signals while the true cosmology is ΛCDM.

  2. Alleviating the Hubble Tension with a Local Void and Transitions of the Absolute Magnitude

    astro-ph.CO 2025-04 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Deep LTB void models with two or three distance-dependent jumps in the supernova absolute magnitude fit Pantheon+ and Planck data well and push the inferred local Hubble constant toward the SH0ES value.

  3. Illustrating the consequences of a misuse of $\sigma_8$ in cosmology

    astro-ph.CO 2025-01 accept novelty 5.0 of 10

    Cosmologists should compare clustering amplitude with the h-independent statistic sigma_12 instead of sigma_8, because sigma_8's smoothing scale shifts with H0 and artificially worsens the growth tension in high-H0 models.

  4. Effect of Peak Absolute Magnitude of Type Ia Supernovae and Sound Horizon Values on Hubble Tension using DESI results

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    Using DESI DR1, Pantheon+ and cosmic chronometer data, the authors show that changing the Type Ia supernova absolute magnitude and sound-horizon priors moves the inferred H0 from about 73 to 68 km/s/Mpc, reducing the ...

  5. Hubble Tension and the G-step Model: Re-examination of Recent Constraints on Modified Local Physics

    astro-ph.CO 2025-08 reject novelty 2.0 of 10

    The paper argues that the G-step model remains a viable solution to the Hubble tension by widening error bars, adopting a weaker luminosity-gravity scaling, and reinterpreting Earth history and distance-ladder data.

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