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A foreground-marginalized 'BK-lite' likelihood for the tensor-to-scalar ratio

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arxiv 2403.00085 v1 pith:LX5FFHOQ submitted 2024-02-29 astro-ph.CO

classification astro-ph.CO
keywords likelihoodb-modebicepbk-liteestimateforeground-marginalizedkeckratio
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The current limit on the tensor-to-scalar ratio from the BICEP/Keck Collaboration (with r<0.036 at 95% confidence) puts pressure on early universe models, with less than 10% of the error on r attributed to uncertainty in Galactic foregrounds. We use the BICEP/Keck BK18 public multi-frequency likelihood to test some further assumptions made in the foreground modeling, finding little impact on the estimate for r. We then estimate foreground-marginalized cosmic microwave background (CMB) B-mode polarization bandpowers. We fit them with a multivariate offset-lognormal distribution and construct a marginalized 'BK-lite' likelihood for the CMB B-mode spectrum with no nuisance parameters, serving as a method demonstration for future analyses of small sky regions, for example from the South Pole Observatory or CMB-S4.

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  1. Compressed 'CMB-lite' Likelihoods Using Automatic Differentiation

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    An automatic differentiation scheme constructs CMB-lite likelihoods from one minimisation and one Hessian evaluation, reproducing full multi-frequency posterior constraints on SPT-3G data within 0.1 sigma.

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