Surface observables in gauge theories, modular Painlev\'e tau functions and non-perturbative topological strings

We study BPS surface observables of $\mathcal{N}=2$ four dimensional $SU(2)$ gauge theory in gravitational $\Omega$-background at perturbative and at Argyres-Douglas superconformal fixed points. This is done by formulating the equivariant gauge theory on the blow-up of $\mathbb{C}^2$ and considering the decoupling Nekrasov-Shatashvili limit. We show that in this limit the blow-up equations are solved by corresponding Painlev\'e $\mathcal{T}$-functions and exploit operator/state correspondence to compute their expansion in an integer basis, given in terms of the moduli of the quantum Seiberg-Witten curve. We study the modular properties of these solutions and show that they do directly lead to BCOV holomorphic anomaly equations for the corresponding topological string partition function. The resulting $\mathcal{T}$-functions are holomorphic and modular and as such they provide a natural non-perturbative completion of topological strings partition functions.