Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction

As of 12 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 30 of 30 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2412.20732.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2412.20732 v1

Coverage vector

measured 30 of 30 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.378575Z

measured 30 of 30 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

30 of 30 outbound references displayed

verified exact2
verified fuzzy1
unresolved27
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 4f4acaa6-9adf-4970-9a0e-71b792cda844 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.774014Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation a647096a-3f7e-4e52-a3ea-cb70985fa912 · outbound

This paper cites Good and safe uses of AI Oracles.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Good and safe uses of AI Oracles

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.264382Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 70cdaa12-1c8d-46e3-ab51-f1ab4314ebba · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.759123Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 1e6a136a-8234-4e1d-807f-434b1399cf40 · outbound

This paper cites On Second-Order Scoring Rules for Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction On Second-Order Scoring Rules for Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification

Reference 4

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.491219Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 72fbb6c8-7dae-4271-b910-a5db4ec1496d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.744030Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation b5f04e22-3090-43b2-a31d-981767a2fe55 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.730585Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 283bf485-dcda-465e-bf1e-26a88eea24a1 · outbound

This paper cites Scoring Rules for Performative Binary Prediction.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Scoring Rules for Performative Binary Prediction

Reference 7

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.473031Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 58a06290-0e68-4387-b90a-8983160d7aed · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.717897Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 67505002-d61c-4ece-96a1-33299c26c491 · outbound

This paper cites B.; Martic, M.; Legg, S.; and Amodei, D.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction B.; Martic, M.; Legg, S.; and Amodei, D

Reference 9

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.704165Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 2c78a5ac-1705-4a1c-82df-95c6fbe1f2c0 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.692036Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 5cc1e21f-2370-4374-b158-f231273fd356 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.304321Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 12084750-9c7e-4b50-8889-aea0421c1b66 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.672964Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 418528f6-8b52-41d0-a400-7835d05afda5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.662098Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 03b20a44-460a-49ba-9c4b-68c2dc6478f4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.651830Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 19cbc4f5-75fb-4c83-9cb9-428e3e051f79 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.640210Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 6c859502-06a1-413b-b162-1d3c9e09d355 · outbound

This paper cites Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.323529Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 19915ed0-6c42-4811-b7b2-e762d5260935 · outbound

This paper cites Conditioning Predictive Models: Risks and Strategies.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Conditioning Predictive Models: Risks and Strategies

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.327493Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d0169309-bc54-4bcd-8741-e4e2f02295ed · outbound

This paper cites Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.331364Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3c2120fa-828a-4d70-b384-4eb14b978855 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.627258Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 97960407-5c46-4d60-b2f3-994feeb6670c · outbound

This paper cites Hidden Incentives for Auto-Induced Distributional Shift.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Hidden Incentives for Auto-Induced Distributional Shift

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.340000Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8fdb8e81-3c0d-46ea-bc12-9a15873a2655 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.615184Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 7be9246d-2db2-4b26-89b9-b918f4f46f5b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.602504Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation f48cd21d-4326-4055-8bbf-1fa19276ac1b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.590172Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 7cce4070-05e8-4b1a-bc1b-e7f6c547536f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.578029Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 7ac2e8b7-f419-4057-90d5-2d49bce31fee · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.564990Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 945fdee1-ce9b-4f3c-ba6e-5eab16c76493 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.552707Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation a40925ff-4d69-494a-a1f5-4cd99e30ab83 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.541336Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 92bbebc4-a0c6-46ee-9b4e-ea05dcd03009 · outbound

This paper cites Goal Misgeneralization: Why Correct Specifications Aren't Enough For Correct Goals.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Goal Misgeneralization: Why Correct Specifications Aren't Enough For Correct Goals

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.370782Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 33bb1ef3-8e4e-41f7-93c2-c83137381f39 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.529795Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 25e945d9-55cb-4255-9bd3-62ca51a52467 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Joint Scoring Rules: Zero-Sum Competition Avoids Performative Prediction Unresolved cited work

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T23:21:23.517234Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.