Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.225013Z
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal
As of 13 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 52 of 52 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2501.14139.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Coverage vector
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T22:30:00.989361Z
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: pith, observed 2026-08-06T22:30:03.119098Z
Reference resolution
52 of 52 outbound references displayed
- verified exact0
- verified fuzzy29
- unresolved23
- parse uncertain0
- malformed identifier0
- metadata mismatch0
External citation measurements
No source-named external measurement is stored.
Outbound references
Observation 5578be48-78cb-490a-9137-69094275774a · outbound
This paper cites , " * write output.state after.block = add.period write newline.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal , " * write output.state after.block = add.period write newline
Reference 1
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:24.995921Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fb57a961-2e7e-4aae-b698-a3e054b8b873 · outbound
This paper cites write newline.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal write newline
Reference 2
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.001141Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 9cba26d3-9413-4ba9-bdfe-1519a196bedd · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 3
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.867243Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation d4abe804-bdc4-4688-9df7-821e7e0112a2 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 4
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.853091Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation d8670387-f693-4bd8-ba87-feb45e565c85 · outbound
This paper cites Spiegelhalter, 2014: The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Spiegelhalter, 2014: The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death
Reference 5
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.840232Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation b6937450-670a-43e9-9dec-e9e2efecac22 · outbound
This paper cites W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
Reference 6
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.827734Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation cfba487e-002c-4caa-a507-0c42848ca6a4 · outbound
This paper cites Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4
Reference 7
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.026072Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation f951d5bb-2a02-406f-a299-cbdf7b50e4f9 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 8
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.816107Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 815bd457-c0be-4d09-b32d-69822a49541b · outbound
This paper cites M., and J.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal M., and J
Reference 9
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.804242Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation d3310f7f-9fb1-4e43-b74d-55aba964f400 · outbound
This paper cites Puntoni, and R.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Puntoni, and R
Reference 10
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.792512Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 9150569b-c954-44c6-9bf3-8bcbb3d1e825 · outbound
This paper cites G., 2012: Development and analysis of a probabilistic forecasting game for meteorology students.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal G., 2012: Development and analysis of a probabilistic forecasting game for meteorology students
Reference 11
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.777567Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation abeaa7f0-7928-476b-b4ee-7f607ad8807c · outbound
This paper cites part i: Measures of predictability.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal part i: Measures of predictability
Reference 12
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.762542Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 7e0412ef-ea85-4cb6-8feb-c0d829a6a4fd · outbound
This paper cites Cerebras-GPT: Open Compute-Optimal Language Models Trained on the Cerebras Wafer-Scale Cluster.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Cerebras-GPT: Open Compute-Optimal Language Models Trained on the Cerebras Wafer-Scale Cluster
Reference 13
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.055215Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 5c032e6b-cfbd-43d8-857e-eddf5486b946 · outbound
This paper cites Saito, and H.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Saito, and H
Reference 14
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.748723Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 1470cd61-5d31-4b23-9b77-6705ff89858f · outbound
This paper cites R., and J.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal R., and J
Reference 15
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.734798Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 0a8e96f5-57fd-4184-9b61-6d020be7b0d5 · outbound
This paper cites Lavers, T.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Lavers, T
Reference 16
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.722334Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 94a0cf8c-8373-4711-b31b-f562ba674d11 · outbound
This paper cites Complexity: Metaphors, Models, and Reality, Addison-Wesley.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Complexity: Metaphors, Models, and Reality, Addison-Wesley
Reference 17
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.709981Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation c8fb1e76-0484-4d3d-abc6-3c8515a534a6 · outbound
This paper cites Hertwig, E.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Hertwig, E
Reference 18
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.697225Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation a0d4bc94-0ccc-4f77-a6d2-b1c41d563af8 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 19
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.683844Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 297566d6-12f7-49a8-a256-3f3d962a4dc8 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 20
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.669669Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 41d1116b-60aa-4419-826b-b2b98819340a · outbound
This paper cites Machine Psychology.
Reference 21
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.090883Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c79aa930-894a-406e-9e30-22c2a6adb046 · outbound
This paper cites Pei, and H.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Pei, and H
Reference 22
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.657543Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 21eeca90-b6ba-44aa-b405-3c514d4b0bf4 · outbound
This paper cites Weather Forecast., 15 (5), 559--570.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Weather Forecast., 15 (5), 559--570
Reference 23
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.645204Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 6d956c37-c805-43ad-9c30-96092c179847 · outbound
This paper cites T., and D.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal T., and D
Reference 24
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.633449Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 3557e048-f00d-4ca6-a4c9-9dda44d2451b · outbound
This paper cites Macmillan.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Macmillan
Reference 25
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.621016Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation c3facf37-c46f-40b3-a218-b7fa1871c557 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 26
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.609889Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation fd4f2b49-142b-46c8-8c19-ac95f7e8c638 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 27
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.598551Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 371a1f7d-cfa3-4620-b3df-44181b169e23 · outbound
This paper cites N., 1963: Deterministic nonperiodic flow.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal N., 1963: Deterministic nonperiodic flow
Reference 28
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.586784Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 18944b81-e0ca-4458-87d6-ded25532cdca · outbound
This paper cites J., 2008: Understanding forecast verification statistics.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal J., 2008: Understanding forecast verification statistics
Reference 29
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.575190Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 905d79b4-0fb3-49c6-aaa4-bfd81edecb1f · outbound
This paper cites G., 2019: In favor of logarithmic scoring.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal G., 2019: In favor of logarithmic scoring
Reference 30
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.563512Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation cc572943-e9ba-44ef-90e7-d8f6aa3194d4 · outbound
This paper cites P., 2013: A strategy for verifying Near-Convection-Resolving model forecasts at observing sites.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal P., 2013: A strategy for verifying Near-Convection-Resolving model forecasts at observing sites
Reference 31
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.552916Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation ae042ed3-9f69-4fc2-94e9-9a40640c0c75 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 32
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.540879Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation e3d788bc-c3a3-48ca-8968-deb57554a734 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 33
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.528698Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 13b58f52-2b8b-4f36-9088-3bbfddd1dfc4 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 34
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.517164Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation fee4ea85-56a9-424c-9ddd-165751183ab8 · outbound
This paper cites R., 1980: An Introduction to Information Theory: Symbols, Signals and Noise.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal R., 1980: An Introduction to Information Theory: Symbols, Signals and Noise
Reference 35
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.505452Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation b0a90ace-0255-4419-ab80-31a15b1a4460 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 36
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.493216Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 5403ae2f-82f1-46f5-9165-b8071d1996a6 · outbound
This paper cites Franco-Pedroso, A.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Franco-Pedroso, A
Reference 37
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.480473Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 14d29592-b1c4-448f-a0bc-afcf8c401181 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 38
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.468839Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 9fd44045-c38f-4007-a33a-ea9a068dc1d1 · outbound
This paper cites M., and H.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal M., and H
Reference 39
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.457995Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 7b0ef54f-bae0-46ef-86aa-0beee0f6ef80 · outbound
This paper cites J., 2013: Using evolutionary programming to generate skillful extreme value probabilistic forecasts.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal J., 2013: Using evolutionary programming to generate skillful extreme value probabilistic forecasts
Reference 40
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.445692Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 4c765648-ceb8-4a9c-8b84-0f73909e67ae · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 41
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.433449Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 57a48134-9505-4cf3-8f0c-8a49a4198169 · outbound
This paper cites S., and L.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal S., and L
Reference 42
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.421753Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 0ba06790-6fdd-4900-bdf5-437d0e49688d · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 43
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.410070Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 27016439-89f0-40ef-aea3-385814b3d10a · outbound
This paper cites Release Strategies and the Social Impacts of Language Models.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Release Strategies and the Social Impacts of Language Models
Reference 44
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.189113Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 4ec4dfa0-0109-4d92-8883-aab26b215389 · outbound
This paper cites Ahrens, 2012: Generalization of the ignorance score: Continuous ranked version and its decomposition.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Ahrens, 2012: Generalization of the ignorance score: Continuous ranked version and its decomposition
Reference 45
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.397677Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation f3fe358f-fac2-4a5d-bbaf-16f14fbda8fd · outbound
This paper cites Walser, J.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Walser, J
Reference 46
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.384025Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation cc54ea0f-6cf3-4083-98e2-745895cbbbc8 · outbound
This paper cites Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models
Reference 47
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.202706Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation f46fb127-5783-4ba3-9eeb-df4fd430c774 · outbound
This paper cites V., and N.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal V., and N
Reference 48
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.370828Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 8789f840-7c58-470f-9883-f234209a92bf · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 49
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.357251Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 2328bf64-028e-4f67-a894-f980f03e95ad · outbound
This paper cites P., 1997: Chaos theory tamed.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal P., 1997: Chaos theory tamed
Reference 50
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.344640Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation 2ce9fd8e-1862-44c1-9515-a7fc9c4737ef · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work
Reference 51
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.332835Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Observation d1dbe350-eab3-4e38-9698-c3723d1b85bb · outbound
This paper cites Zakaria, 2019: Explanations for cultural differences in thinking: Easterners' dialectical thinking and westerners' linear thinking.
A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Zakaria, 2019: Explanations for cultural differences in thinking: Easterners' dialectical thinking and westerners' linear thinking
Reference 52
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.320159Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.
Pith citing papers
Observation 1e140c92-fcb0-4b22-aca7-fbf04f399785 · inbound
Intertwined Orders and the Physics of High Temperature Superconductors cites this paper.
Intertwined Orders and the Physics of High Temperature Superconductors A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal
Reference 110
- Resolution
- verified exact
- local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T22:30:03.161067Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.