Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics

As of 21 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 29 of 29 outbound references and 5 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2505.05602.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2505.05602 v3

Coverage vector

measured 29 of 29 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.821737Z

measured 34 of 34 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00

measured 5 of 5 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-04T11:19:47.155013Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: pith, observed 2026-07-09T13:26:16.578885Z

Reference resolution

29 of 29 outbound references displayed

verified exact1
verified fuzzy10
unresolved18
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 2b992279-ef0f-4ea2-8cb9-195731264452 · outbound

This paper cites The Claude 3 Model Family: Opus, Sonnet, Haiku Anthropic.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics The Claude 3 Model Family: Opus, Sonnet, Haiku Anthropic

Reference 1

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.480096Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 1a954fc1-b84a-49dd-8ba5-d53d4b028d2f · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.682344Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 27384ec8-b8a2-46d1-9c7a-2eefb30f2a05 · outbound

This paper cites BoolQ: Exploring the Surprising Difficulty of Natural Yes/No Questions.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics BoolQ: Exploring the Surprising Difficulty of Natural Yes/No Questions

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.687781Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1b5264fc-b950-47c3-96e3-f8d7c9a38a55 · outbound

This paper cites HiBayES: A Python package for analysing data from Inspect logs using statistical modeling techniques.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics HiBayES: A Python package for analysing data from Inspect logs using statistical modeling techniques

Reference 4

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.463513Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation d673f58a-b21b-487d-b6aa-667b7e4c7ca2 · outbound

This paper cites Bayesian Data Analysis.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Bayesian Data Analysis

Reference 5

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.447681Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 80936299-fd0c-470d-8416-983aa8da0f56 · outbound

This paper cites SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-world GitHub Issues? https://github.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-world GitHub Issues? https://github

Reference 6

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.432468Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 5dea24d3-4a55-4bd2-b448-77190f63fd58 · outbound

This paper cites Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.708335Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c2c02a5d-792d-45fc-9b95-1cd52e1737e6 · outbound

This paper cites The No-U-Turn Sampler: Adaptively Setting Path Lengths in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics The No-U-Turn Sampler: Adaptively Setting Path Lengths in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.713179Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 11046e32-51a9-4f0d-ba75-9aa8aaa33a2d · outbound

This paper cites Analyzing OpenAI’s o1-preview in Comparison with Claude 3 Opus and GPT-4 on ARC AGI Evaluation.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Analyzing OpenAI’s o1-preview in Comparison with Claude 3 Opus and GPT-4 on ARC AGI Evaluation

Reference 9

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.415575Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation b4066978-fed2-489a-875a-770c57d75235 · outbound

This paper cites Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.723242Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation acd725f4-78e9-4ebf-9e32-e3cc7679d014 · outbound

This paper cites RACE: Large-scale ReAding Comprehension Dataset From Examinations.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics RACE: Large-scale ReAding Comprehension Dataset From Examinations

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.728561Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 52cc77eb-7348-4177-9cdf-f0465efe70a9 · outbound

This paper cites DS-1000: A Natural and Reliable Benchmark for Data Science Code Generation.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics DS-1000: A Natural and Reliable Benchmark for Data Science Code Generation

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.733761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 71bb4ed7-d858-437c-b4b4-a8eece49a1ff · outbound

This paper cites Holistic Evaluation of Language Models.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Holistic Evaluation of Language Models

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.739467Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1fb628ed-4f58-47a9-b4b9-e1ccdc356764 · outbound

This paper cites Statistical Rethinking.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Statistical Rethinking

Reference 14

Resolution: verified exact; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.181796Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 96fa30b8-495a-4ed5-bf6c-4a5a33a080ed · outbound

This paper cites Statistical Rethinking 2023.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Statistical Rethinking 2023

Reference 15

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.397270Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 12fe11be-7608-47b9-aa90-6e3139fe0050 · outbound

This paper cites METR’s GPT-4.5 pre-deployment evaluations.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics METR’s GPT-4.5 pre-deployment evaluations

Reference 16

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.381825Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 9836eb00-9250-43df-bd34-e45c04006f28 · outbound

This paper cites GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistants.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistants

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.758834Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 374b41c5-137e-4c26-9246-1802793bcb96 · outbound

This paper cites Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.764019Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3cdcd32d-ecd6-4ae8-8eb7-3255ff978764 · outbound

This paper cites Generalized Linear Models.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Generalized Linear Models

Reference 19

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.365363Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation e0634780-3ced-43ec-9b6b-c21d531641dc · outbound

This paper cites GPT-4o System Card.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics GPT-4o System Card

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.774258Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation cc59f489-bb5d-45c5-90c9-49d8e8261ecf · outbound

This paper cites Composable Effects for Flexible and Accelerated Probabilistic Programming in NumPyro.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Composable Effects for Flexible and Accelerated Probabilistic Programming in NumPyro

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.779556Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fa7e32e5-50b3-442d-b2ff-8deaa137af63 · outbound

This paper cites HCAST: Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics HCAST: Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.784797Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 21467e2f-7281-40f2-90ba-213d476f0093 · outbound

This paper cites Language Models are Multilingual Chain-of-Thought Reasoners.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Language Models are Multilingual Chain-of-Thought Reasoners

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.789738Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 01837506-8aa0-4401-8ea4-3dec0ab627f1 · outbound

This paper cites Clio: Privacy-Preserving Insights into Real-World AI Use.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Clio: Privacy-Preserving Insights into Real-World AI Use

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.794746Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation eaffacaa-0ea1-4dbb-a666-120a126d8421 · outbound

This paper cites inspect_ai: AI-assisted inspection policy development.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics inspect_ai: AI-assisted inspection policy development

Reference 25

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.349649Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 765e2c86-5715-43ce-b82c-a47b7c936a8a · outbound

This paper cites Asymptotic Equivalence of Bayes Cross Validation and Widely Applicable Information Criterion in Singular Learning Theory.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics Asymptotic Equivalence of Bayes Cross Validation and Widely Applicable Information Criterion in Singular Learning Theory

Reference 26

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:01.332331Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 3c78b97b-aa03-42e4-a582-56dfac4df817 · outbound

This paper cites InterCode: Standardizing and Benchmarking Interactive Coding with Execution Feedback.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics InterCode: Standardizing and Benchmarking Interactive Coding with Execution Feedback

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.812017Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 512fc14f-2ee8-4ff8-9bdd-c5f840592840 · outbound

This paper cites ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.817052Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e75e17fe-3ce5-4b1f-9c40-1b8d65f3dfce · outbound

This paper cites HumanEval Pro and MBPP Pro: Evaluating Large Language Models on Self-invoking Code Generation.

HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics HumanEval Pro and MBPP Pro: Evaluating Large Language Models on Self-invoking Code Generation

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:06:00.821737Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

Observation 2801fa99-1e31-4692-aea1-f4a2389eaa15 · inbound

Correcting Prompt Dependence in LLM Benchmarks: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model with Embedding-Space Clustering cites this paper.

Correcting Prompt Dependence in LLM Benchmarks: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model with Embedding-Space Clustering HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T11:19:47.155013Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1da28fec-a90b-44bd-84b5-e19a96647d9b · inbound

People readily follow personal advice from AI but it does not improve their well-being cites this paper.

People readily follow personal advice from AI but it does not improve their well-being HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics

Reference 39

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-17T21:12:05.923970Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation b12517b5-34a7-45e6-b613-6f37e875ce02 · inbound

CyclicJudge: Mitigating Judge Bias Efficiently in LLM-based Evaluation cites this paper.

CyclicJudge: Mitigating Judge Bias Efficiently in LLM-based Evaluation HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics

Reference 2

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-09T03:28:10.067536Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation ba9cb7f2-d722-4af3-91d8-159fc88940f0 · inbound

Multi-Agent AI Control: Distributed Attacks Hamper Per-Instance Monitors cites this paper.

Multi-Agent AI Control: Distributed Attacks Hamper Per-Instance Monitors HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics

Reference 1

Resolution: metadata mismatch; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-09T13:26:16.580274Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 60843e07-56a9-446a-bbe6-974cbf04c93a · inbound

Modeling Memory-Dependent Reliability of LLMs: A Hidden Markov Model cites this paper.

Modeling Memory-Dependent Reliability of LLMs: A Hidden Markov Model HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T04:06:15.154820Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.