Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models

As of 15 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 31 of 31 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2506.23274.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.23274 v4

Coverage vector

measured 31 of 31 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.146199Z

measured 32 of 32 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-08T14:43:56.125546Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

31 of 31 outbound references displayed

verified exact1
verified fuzzy1
unresolved29
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

0
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

Observation d1dc2eec-da4b-432f-a4cd-11d008598f0c · outbound

This paper cites online" 'onlinestring :=.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models online" 'onlinestring :=

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.045451Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bdf4b619-f5f2-482e-9f6e-cfc3854dc8bb · outbound

This paper cites write newline.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models write newline

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.200516Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 781b1b83-c349-418b-97ca-d4d2fb3c1092 · outbound

This paper cites Knowing Before Saying: LLM Representations Encode Information About Chain-of-Thought Success Before Completion.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Knowing Before Saying: LLM Representations Encode Information About Chain-of-Thought Success Before Completion

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.337337Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5cc1f29e-31c8-4517-83e1-b456cd5dffe8 · outbound

This paper cites L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learning.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learning

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.473114Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 64bcfdf4-6030-4057-ad2d-bd0eb462cf7b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.791129Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 3556caa1-a966-4710-9e0e-29b1aea18100 · outbound

This paper cites Reasoning Theater: Disentangling Model Beliefs from Chain-of-Thought.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Reasoning Theater: Disentangling Model Beliefs from Chain-of-Thought

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.710573Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3b026046-a715-49b8-b9b7-e80aa2e446eb · outbound

This paper cites Post-Hoc Reasoning in Chain of Thought: Decoding and Steering Pre-Committed Answers.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Post-Hoc Reasoning in Chain of Thought: Decoding and Steering Pre-Committed Answers

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.833975Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1df8339e-3960-4286-8108-5549df6c44d1 · outbound

This paper cites DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.905480Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0495563a-1a82-4c3b-9b66-b36a379dbc38 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.661852Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 0edeed69-c8fa-4fb6-8d9a-4cc405daa810 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.503761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 1d08f806-7347-4ce6-a9fa-618c39c64d8f · outbound

This paper cites OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problems.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problems

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.160182Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 61d17d4e-5716-49cb-b316-2b2972b9b63f · outbound

This paper cites LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.249408Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 57dd8214-2096-479e-bd16-eb14870a1e86 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.389257Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d05e0762-49b2-4545-ac2a-ed9c6d7210bb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.394827Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 757417b5-63df-4558-ae92-acedc68f49aa · outbound

This paper cites BIG-Bench Extra Hard.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models BIG-Bench Extra Hard

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.585573Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 10a182f1-bc06-455d-a7bc-8d5e9ef50b8a · outbound

This paper cites Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.665028Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6798172e-b7ea-40a9-952a-4952518da938 · outbound

This paper cites Let's Verify Step by Step.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Let's Verify Step by Step

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.799864Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0296a1e3-f937-43ae-8a94-0f4b910ed6c4 · outbound

This paper cites Tang, Manan Roongta, Colin Cai, Jeffrey Luo, Li Erran Li, Raluca Ada Popa, and Ion Stoica.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Tang, Manan Roongta, Colin Cai, Jeffrey Luo, Li Erran Li, Raluca Ada Popa, and Ion Stoica

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.901311Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b2515418-dffc-4efd-bfbd-a99ac142ea87 · outbound

This paper cites Self-Monitoring Navigation Agent via Auxiliary Progress Estimation.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Self-Monitoring Navigation Agent via Auxiliary Progress Estimation

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.087505Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4278897f-3e42-42dc-ab77-a25f36efaca8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.217526Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 7c5bd6fa-580b-4423-9757-e29299da360e · outbound

This paper cites s1: Simple test-time scaling.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models s1: Simple test-time scaling

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.321521Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b4510817-bd18-4aee-95dc-1f28fcf54986 · outbound

This paper cites OpenAI o1 System Card.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models OpenAI o1 System Card

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.414464Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8b767af5-6c0e-4f24-888b-793a46aee9ed · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.038679Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 55fbfcc4-0429-4143-a4f0-478fbfa3bac5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.585266Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0d0fed91-12d2-434c-bd91-21c73fba12f9 · outbound

This paper cites Thayer, Roni Stern, and Levi H.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Thayer, Roni Stern, and Levi H

Reference 25

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.916301Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 76723c02-3a6e-4370-8365-9712de7876e8 · outbound

This paper cites Calibrating Reasoning in Language Models with Internal Consistency.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Calibrating Reasoning in Language Models with Internal Consistency

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.731546Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3936ad77-716d-4947-a689-efe6d943f63d · outbound

This paper cites Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verification.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verification

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.871354Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation dcda126d-f130-493c-b435-884fff431142 · outbound

This paper cites Vision-Language Navigation with Self-Supervised Auxiliary Reasoning Tasks.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Vision-Language Navigation with Self-Supervised Auxiliary Reasoning Tasks

Reference 28

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.362430Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 9e505ad1-3054-4562-a6f9-2cc3ffb0a599 · outbound

This paper cites @esa (Ref.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models @esa (Ref

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.973471Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 24e1c789-4732-4bb9-a0f3-9951dfc1b34a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.075601Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d3bd7b87-1a87-405b-ad7f-3e986ea24e6d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.146199Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

Observation d101b226-0181-410a-b54c-0d954c171684 · inbound

Hypothesis generation and updating in large language models cites this paper.

Hypothesis generation and updating in large language models Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models

Reference 15

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-27T02:05:03.856858Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.