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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting

As of 19 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 15 of 15 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2509.23074.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2509.23074 v3

Coverage vector

measured 15 of 15 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:46.123455Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-02T06:16:39.177755Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

15 of 15 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact4
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved11
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation d5017008-ac8a-44cf-bd4d-50a6cb85d8ea · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1609/aaai.v37i9.26317.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1609/aaai.v37i9.26317

Reference 11

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.809269Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.809269Z digest=sha256:6a39592d66c5b5cfaa8b39b1e2985abaabf742b0ed620bd0f55e4f1688006939

Observation 5d310934-f7c8-49e6-83b3-dbf68a362ac6 · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1109/TKDE.2019.2955686.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1109/TKDE.2019.2955686

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.870719Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.870719Z digest=sha256:7ef8deb1e08620bfb65102ca78c717b828ea4be31ae4895e649094cccb644196

Observation 6256fe1c-f63d-4ff6-9745-c997fe64f556 · outbound

This paper cites drop-last.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting drop-last

Reference 128

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:46.047734Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:46.047734Z digest=sha256:543ac3dcb88b3fcf959a7a616d2aa76ae3de92d3caa3307bc6a2fc5fcedaff77

Observation 333e5ad1-5b1f-42f8-9dbe-af0b1043068b · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb01338.x.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb01338.x

Reference 1948

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.510229Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.510229Z digest=sha256:391b217dfdb6d850d55fb30735602453a0fddc1a14050479f18cb25f07ce3393

Observation 662e6eb4-3d42-49ad-9f7a-9633113a2643 · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1109/TIT.1977.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1109/TIT.1977

Reference 1977

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:58.614750Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.958515Z digest=sha256:b3c000a8a71cd9880833ee8d6e05d5f295411f103fb6563e1c740f6f023f686f

Observation 9d11d494-bd22-4691-bcab-2d5118f6290c · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1152/ajpheart.2000.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1152/ajpheart.2000

Reference 2000

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:58.994745Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.388974Z digest=sha256:f415da55547ba8000bdb0ccffc9c265a705ee1e2282b34f055a809ca22401a90

Observation cd79968b-acca-457a-a307-1996dad4d41f · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.88.174102.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.88.174102

Reference 2002

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:44.725035Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.725035Z digest=sha256:39c4a65b6b30bc56d498adad71eb7863238bb418b96e85454a3aaed6d7316b3d

Observation e7373bf7-bd54-4bd8-85ba-f0e12c5d1e60 · outbound

This paper cites Huandong Wang, Sihan Zeng, Yong Li, and Depeng Jin.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting Huandong Wang, Sihan Zeng, Yong Li, and Depeng Jin

Reference 2010

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.629300Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.629300Z digest=sha256:a8d6d326cc6bd5c16056b211daa2d9876a7375d89e7146ec59aee57cc3df7d8b

Observation 254b2fef-9974-4bf4-863c-cc77f23a0c7b · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.90.052910.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.90.052910

Reference 2014

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:44.792429Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.792429Z digest=sha256:ca0d5d3e2dd26c33d33bed0c026c76d3e88ca8de592911cdace8909d39b1811a

Observation fe880cac-1ec5-4bf1-a1b8-778a69fb9886 · outbound

This paper cites h” denotes hourly data and “m.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting h” denotes hourly data and “m

Reference 2018

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:46.123455Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:46.123455Z digest=sha256:997efd0756a53fb6c08c273a6a7c23ab5d3f077f223f68889d67944d82ee34c0

Observation 6cf12d4d-1ea7-4783-a461-7adc1b039b4e · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1002/ecm.1359.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1002/ecm.1359

Reference 2019

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:59.247634Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.250177Z digest=sha256:2247ae05d2f1e71c00ca7f46b3e11a2e68952965a13d24e27ec19a4acd210f79

Observation 4155de24-f359-442e-bac2-398526c5d66c · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1109/TMC.2020.2981441.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1109/TMC.2020.2981441

Reference 2021

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.753544Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.753544Z digest=sha256:9c732cea31614722e6b5000d2f5bd4aff42eda86306bbefbaf2547216d193f55

Observation 0cc90491-b16c-490f-9803-1b744336dee2 · outbound

This paper cites A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers

Reference 2023

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.079169Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.079169Z digest=sha256:80620e24c796629cb978ec8f55cea13708fa36f3028560b0799f3a8c6163c50b

Observation 07e957fe-7d06-49be-bd86-3e80261cb6d2 · outbound

This paper cites ISBN 979-8-4007-0490-1.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting ISBN 979-8-4007-0490-1

Reference 2024

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:44.999608Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.999608Z digest=sha256:9eba5e999e70a9ceecc68246a2ff8725857c2ba0491874b75e17950d5127ab63

Observation d94e5d04-f2c1-4395-8204-ec4e02ea8c11 · outbound

This paper cites Ioannis Kontoyiannis, Paul H.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting Ioannis Kontoyiannis, Paul H

Reference 7527

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:59.690810Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.882007Z digest=sha256:d254418f1520dd4d524824d485fe6c0a4b1288a115709917380a03c9f6b6e948

Pith citing papers

Observation ca89de7a-8720-4df5-8e8d-3708d82babcb · inbound

The Spectrum Is Not Enough: When Context Helps Time-Series Forecasting cites this paper.

The Spectrum Is Not Enough: When Context Helps Time-Series Forecasting Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting

Reference 11

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:16:39.177755Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-02T06:16:39.177755Z digest=sha256:9483106a0edef54a024c29949fdfb62d9e73855ff54abe083ea3bad451658c23