Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-13T16:55:30.415552Z
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 53 of 53 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2604.03888.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-13T16:55:30.415552Z
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-06-27T06:38:21.157449Z
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: pith, observed 2026-07-03T15:08:33.639623Z
53 of 53 outbound references displayed
External citation measurements
No source-named external measurement is stored.
Observation 1a3b9b02-a025-419f-9b86-e6d5fca73bb3 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Prediction markets
Reference 1
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 318bb8d7-9d08-4de4-8d8b-be5dfe1d71d9 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage The promise of prediction markets
Reference 2
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 7d518068-7b6e-4a13-9cf6-4be20111ff5e · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Surowiecki,The Wisdom of Crowds
Reference 3
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 04e8cee9-4b45-4714-a0be-2a942fca3025 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Language models are few-shot learners
Reference 4
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 885e8f19-c014-4723-9d34-651746661b2d · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage GPT-4 Technical Report
Reference 5
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 04b0d3db-782b-4e1c-9081-48ff2fc86881 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Survey of hallucination in natural language generation
Reference 6
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 2dd6f4fa-6e83-4c72-a93f-4d7454fe53bc · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know
Reference 7
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation db04c48a-e309-4b3e-95bc-1567c565e61d · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Calibrate before use: Improving few-shot performance of language models
Reference 8
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 3f82efe1-a3b6-49e9-a9ab-5dc91f3a96f5 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Models
Reference 9
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 31878cb6-e84b-4f85-8b71-1ea75a0e0859 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Bonabeau, M
Reference 10
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 6570a39e-b953-4ecd-b228-93ca3d9111ca · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Particle swarm optimization
Reference 11
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 9c025e3d-2a8a-4242-9587-bb16a1683eb9 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial
Reference 12
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 4c55a8fb-bb31-4d1a-b0ea-6f4bb9e7058b · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage AutoGen: Enabling Next-Gen LLM Applications via Multi-Agent Conversation
Reference 13
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 5e9b7b64-9b4e-4404-8ffd-1733f1d611c1 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage CAMEL: Communicative agents for ‘mind’ exploration of large lan- guage model society
Reference 14
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation f8bac7a3-f0e4-46f8-8df3-ed1fecb0aeb0 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Unresolved cited work
Reference 15
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 394cad2f-8caf-4b6f-8658-6390da3e0970 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Combinatorial information market design
Reference 16
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 60127543-9c0f-4fb2-bf39-57bb8bbc9158 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage On the impossibility of information- ally efficient markets
Reference 17
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 98244793-09e3-430f-a143-b9db3d0b356b · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work
Reference 18
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 7728e65d-4322-4e1b-a2bb-916dc17e2914 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Can chatgpt forecast stock price movements? return pre- dictability and large language models
Reference 19
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8e23fbe0-5b82-4d22-bffa-d092a312873a · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback
Reference 20
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 7c91cedf-e08a-4256-b1da-769feb025d10 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models
Reference 21
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation a85be0d2-0bcc-45e0-b158-2eb7f4510e59 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Finance
Reference 22
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation a07db38e-12c5-483c-9aee-7ec526265164 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Fingp t: Open-source financial large language models
Reference 23
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 06da5727-72dc-4ee8-a16e-01ee8706d830 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Chain-of-thought prompting elicits reasoning in large language models
Reference 24
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 4fa1527b-57fd-4557-85a7-8815554482ad · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Multi-agent systems: A survey
Reference 25
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 3e9cb546-f927-4014-a286-baea3b7d58eb · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Generative agents: Interactive simulacra of human behavior
Reference 26
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8299bf22-7651-4101-954b-5e3c867a56b5 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Encouraging Divergent Thinking in Large Language Models through Multi-Agent Debate
Reference 27
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 39abfa70-3e62-477e-93b3-365d2b14eba3 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage When is a liability not a liability? Textual analysis, dictionaries, and 10-Ks
Reference 28
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 7d7a4c4c-8b94-4387-a99c-2acbdde24b5a · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage BERT: Pre-training of deep bidirectional transformers for language understanding
Reference 29
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation d5b48dd7-80a9-4db7-8fbd-baaf734f4a13 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Models
Reference 30
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation f4b71c53-0ea0-4657-b286-e5b6b89afa0d · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Language models are unsupervised multitask learners
Reference 31
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation a95e4cd6-b866-41c1-b7a8-c192f41adfe5 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation
Reference 32
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 82f2594d-b4d7-48d8-a2fe-12c5ded0a663 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage On information and sufficiency
Reference 33
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 442fe6f7-4daf-4475-83b7-03d02f9dfc09 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Unresolved cited work
Reference 34
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 98fc328f-a780-4bd6-b635-9cb684996f57 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage The high-frequency trading arms race: Frequent batch auctions as a market design response
Reference 35
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation da91cf5f-8107-48d8-9a60-dc2ac73830d6 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage High frequency trading and the new market makers
Reference 36
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 55ae9b27-65eb-43ed-9e9e-c183f7e1d336 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Flash boys 2.0: Frontrunning in decentralized exchanges, miner extractable value, and consensus instability
Reference 37
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 459cc8c2-6a40-47f8-b8ff-62ef4e9a615c · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage A new interpretation of information rate
Reference 38
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation f2f86d72-ea20-40f1-8680-6e295b77a02d · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage The Kelly criterion in blackjack, sports betting, and the stock market
Reference 39
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 59c04e19-c7e0-47ea-9954-bcee519f261f · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
Reference 40
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8b086e5d-035c-4b4c-aa9f-a677a775cb80 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Good debt or bad debt: Detecting semantic orientations in economic texts
Reference 41
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 90f423c8-6348-45fa-9dfd-2e913b77ba6b · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Retrieval-augmented generation for knowledge-intensive NLP tasks
Reference 42
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8fb23a2f-22f1-4794-8566-5db2df4e9d71 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Attention is all you need
Reference 43
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 051636a4-09bb-435f-91f2-f4c7e93cb96d · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage AgentVerse: Facilitating Multi-Agent Collaboration and Exploring Emergent Behaviors
Reference 44
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation f42fb946-a16b-4c49-bce2-0b7a7c4b7bd0 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage MetaGPT: Meta Programming for A Multi-Agent Collaborative Framework
Reference 45
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation e03f48ef-fd50-4b98-9a7c-d5ef133e2ad7 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Self-consistency improves chain of thought reasoning in language models
Reference 46
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8ac07c0d-73fb-4754-a1a1-5fcdf095989c · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Reflexion: Language agents with verbal reinforcement learning
Reference 47
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 1c82f532-d415-4dfc-8bf4-c2262094d9c4 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage ReAct: Synergizing reasoning and acting in language models
Reference 48
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation df83d0e7-7f08-410d-93f4-305f295fffef · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage The pricing of options and corporate liabilities
Reference 49
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 9cd59ab4-ace0-464b-b50d-f442e8c9afc9 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Kahneman,Thinking, Fast and Slow
Reference 50
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 1d71804b-c10f-4004-bf0a-d6d4883c4e96 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage The algorithmic foundations of differential privacy
Reference 51
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation ed590031-dbc9-43ab-a7f7-910c9defa238 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Bitcoin: A peer-to-peer electronic cash system
Reference 52
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation de229c50-c040-4a6a-81b6-a32e6260d7f8 · outbound
PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage Ethereum: A secure decentralised generalised transaction ledger
Reference 53
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation ad755606-2e8c-4a25-8c80-696d7765d1fe · inbound
Nous: An Attempt to Extract and Inject the Cognition Behind Prediction-Market Behavior PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage
Reference 2
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.