Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents

As of 12 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2604.09570.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2604.09570 v2

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-15T20:55:24.132820Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

verified exact9
verified fuzzy6
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch1

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 486e3acd-8358-441c-b3e9-ac3d2f8ba69f · outbound

This paper cites Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications

Reference 1

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.556724Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation c876ddc2-1c8d-436c-aa9c-26bb773882f4 · outbound

This paper cites Available: https://doi.org/10.1002/wics.1514.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Available: https://doi.org/10.1002/wics.1514

Reference 2

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.698165Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation b94b09a1-a13a-491e-9266-63f0303ace25 · outbound

This paper cites Hemming, M.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Hemming, M

Reference 3

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.554450Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 3b6f54a2-e2ed-404a-b0fe-b50e4a253320 · outbound

This paper cites Branch prediction in CPU pipelining.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Branch prediction in CPU pipelining

Reference 4

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.713663Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation bb089c3d-1a4e-4e70-9413-d30d83e5730d · outbound

This paper cites Conversational Collective Intelligence (CCI) using Hyperchat AI in a Real -world Forecasting Task.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Conversational Collective Intelligence (CCI) using Hyperchat AI in a Real -world Forecasting Task

Reference 5

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.065578Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation d8116131-9d27-4f9d-81fd-16b1dc7fcd63 · outbound

This paper cites Choosing a home: How the scouts in a honey bee swarm perceive the completion of their group decision making.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Choosing a home: How the scouts in a honey bee swarm perceive the completion of their group decision making

Reference 6

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.552528Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 6f3c91b8-b18f-4417-bc57-4b241dc2096a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.719083Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation e95e3f47-1732-4178-8c7d-eeb9201ecaa9 · outbound

This paper cites Rosenberg, G.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Rosenberg, G

Reference 8

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.694737Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 9eafbeed-d7cc-4d56-9284-fd07fcc1e53d · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1038/s41746-019-0189-7.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents doi: 10.1038/s41746-019-0189-7

Reference 9

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.708273Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

correction dated 2019-12-10. Source: crossref record 10.1038/s41746-019-0198-6->10.1038/s41746-019-0189-7:correction, observed 2026-07-11T03:00:23.104789+00:00. This notice travels one citation hop only.

Observation 59db4e96-4051-4d12-8c74-2f72e441d15b · outbound

This paper cites Keeping Humans in the Loop: Pooling Knowledge through Artificial Swarm Intelligence to Improve Business Decision Making.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Keeping Humans in the Loop: Pooling Knowledge through Artificial Swarm Intelligence to Improve Business Decision Making

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.684965Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 54e74950-657f-45bb-ae6c-0e440ecf8c01 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.703368Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 5f52c69a-4650-4f71-86e2-4f39c699c014 · outbound

This paper cites Rosenberg, G.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Rosenberg, G

Reference 12

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.558732Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 35f07aff-574a-4ab2-a9a7-d8d23e5b46cf · outbound

This paper cites Dense Neural Network used to Amplify the Forecasting Accuracy of real -time Human Swarms.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Dense Neural Network used to Amplify the Forecasting Accuracy of real -time Human Swarms

Reference 13

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.679526Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation df6135ce-8908-47b8-8d7e-e2c508f249de · outbound

This paper cites ‘Methods and systems for hyperchat conversations among large networked populations with collective intelligence’.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents ‘Methods and systems for hyperchat conversations among large networked populations with collective intelligence’

Reference 14

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.550092Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 3134d718-9973-46af-af95-43d1a143425d · outbound

This paper cites Winning Percentage of Professional Sports Bettors.

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Winning Percentage of Professional Sports Bettors

Reference 15

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:37.547831Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Observation 52c6f0dd-1a86-4c56-b68c-386f44a49602 · outbound

This paper cites Robbins, (2023).

Conversational Forecasting Across Large Human Groups Using A Swarm of Surrogate AI Agents Robbins, (2023)

Reference 16

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-05-15T20:56:36.689409Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.