Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark

As of 10 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 11 of 11 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2606.18686.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2606.18686 v1

Coverage vector

measured 11 of 11 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-06-26T21:28:29.509543Z

measured 11 of 11 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

11 of 11 outbound references displayed

verified exact2
verified fuzzy0
unresolved3
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier1
metadata mismatch5

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 6750a4f8-a56d-4eff-9039-19727a66b3b6 · outbound

This paper cites Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability

Reference 1

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-06-26T21:30:02.658535Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 47ed0aaa-8d6b-45d5-b896-1489f027ada2 · outbound

This paper cites Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents

Reference 2

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T00:09:14.539932Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 1614c023-145b-43dc-876a-780799b575f9 · outbound

This paper cites Strictly.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark Strictly

Reference 3

Resolution: metadata mismatch; doi, observed 2026-06-26T21:30:02.660920Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 59aeace5-96a3-4d67-9ccf-3f1844feaf60 · outbound

This paper cites A rosetta stone for ai benchmarks.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark A rosetta stone for ai benchmarks

Reference 5

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T00:09:14.544240Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 9733031c-cc19-443f-8a20-e6151382e2eb · outbound

This paper cites ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities

Reference 6

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T00:09:14.513919Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 9cee8779-6795-44d7-96da-dbfc77f46712 · outbound

This paper cites CivRealm: A Learning and Reasoning Odyssey in Civilization for Decision-Making Agents.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark CivRealm: A Learning and Reasoning Odyssey in Civilization for Decision-Making Agents

Reference 7

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T00:09:14.517986Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 8c9ed4ee-7ba7-465b-826c-3becbf75f01f · outbound

This paper cites LLM Processes: Numerical Predictive Distributions Conditioned on Natural Language.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark LLM Processes: Numerical Predictive Distributions Conditioned on Natural Language

Reference 8

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T00:09:14.509495Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 79f8dff2-2d61-4bca-801e-d3e47c6d3d5b · outbound

This paper cites Tian, K., Mitchell, E., Zhou, A., Sharma, A., Rafailov, R., Yao, H., Finn, C., and Manning, C.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark Tian, K., Mitchell, E., Zhou, A., Sharma, A., Rafailov, R., Yao, H., Finn, C., and Manning, C

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-26T21:28:29.509543Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation dbbd5449-c599-49c5-9d05-b45c0dcb98db · outbound

This paper cites Vezhnevets, A.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark Vezhnevets, A

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-26T21:28:29.509543Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 39cd5930-92ce-4ebb-9001-23dfc3dac2a0 · outbound

This paper cites 5 ForecastBench-Sim A.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark 5 ForecastBench-Sim A

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-26T21:28:29.509543Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 61cae7ea-64c0-477f-9e73-15d25d6bc50b · outbound

This paper cites This appendix expands those numbers with per-horizon Spearman correlations and the underlying model lists.

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark This appendix expands those numbers with per-horizon Spearman correlations and the underlying model lists

Reference 12

Resolution: malformed identifier; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-26T21:28:29.509543Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.