Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials

As of 13 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 35 of 35 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2607.04205.

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pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2607.04205 v1

Coverage vector

measured 35 of 35 reference resolution

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Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

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Reference resolution

35 of 35 outbound references displayed

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Outbound references

Observation 58840fbe-f63a-4b2c-b010-580d88f4d6cf · outbound

This paper cites ICH E20 Guideline on Adaptive Designs for Clinical Trials: Step 2b.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials ICH E20 Guideline on Adaptive Designs for Clinical Trials: Step 2b

Reference 1

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Observation 5affb61f-5639-48b0-9b21-92a2a4007bfc · outbound

This paper cites Twenty-five years of confirmatory adaptive designs: opportunities and pitfalls.Statistics in Medicine.2016;35(3):325–347.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Twenty-five years of confirmatory adaptive designs: opportunities and pitfalls.Statistics in Medicine.2016;35(3):325–347

Reference 2

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.133022Z

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Observation 32bad34c-62e6-44ab-bd17-69c4acd6906f · outbound

This paper cites Two-stage randomized clinical trials with a right-censored endpoint: Comparison of frequentist and Bayesian adaptive designs.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Two-stage randomized clinical trials with a right-censored endpoint: Comparison of frequentist and Bayesian adaptive designs

Reference 3

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.137644Z

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Observation c3c19f4b-ee02-4b9c-aa71-55861b623fd8 · outbound

This paper cites Optimal timing for interim analyses in clinical trials.Journal of Biopharmaceutic Statistics.2013;23(5):1067–1080.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Optimal timing for interim analyses in clinical trials.Journal of Biopharmaceutic Statistics.2013;23(5):1067–1080

Reference 4

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Observation acb46b3d-7585-4890-ae3b-36d948d948b2 · outbound

This paper cites Robust time selection for interim analysis in the Bayesian phase 2 exploratory clinical trial.Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics.2024;34(3):413–423.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Robust time selection for interim analysis in the Bayesian phase 2 exploratory clinical trial.Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics.2024;34(3):413–423

Reference 5

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.011034Z

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Observation 3c46c39a-7d13-4600-a87b-ff13e3421492 · outbound

This paper cites Optimal scheduling of interim analyses in group sequential trials.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Optimal scheduling of interim analyses in group sequential trials

Reference 6

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.153149Z

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Observation bfa34f86-983e-40e2-93d2-d5db9b2289cc · outbound

This paper cites Optimizing interim analysis timing for Bayesian adaptive commensurate designs.Statistics in Medicine.2020;39(4):424–437.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Optimizing interim analysis timing for Bayesian adaptive commensurate designs.Statistics in Medicine.2020;39(4):424–437

Reference 7

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.176417Z

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Observation f1fa2a7b-ef94-492b-8118-4913c548cff7 · outbound

This paper cites A group-sequential randomized trial design utilizing supplemental trial data.Statistics in Medicine.2022;41(4):698–718.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials A group-sequential randomized trial design utilizing supplemental trial data.Statistics in Medicine.2022;41(4):698–718

Reference 8

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.109550Z

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Observation 8553f600-75fe-4f5b-84a9-1291926f3320 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

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Observation dcba2667-83d4-46db-8fca-c97e17fdc6b3 · outbound

This paper cites Bayesian dynamic borrowing in group-sequential design for medical device studies.BMC Medical Research Methodology.2025;25(1):78.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Bayesian dynamic borrowing in group-sequential design for medical device studies.BMC Medical Research Methodology.2025;25(1):78

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.103807Z

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Observation e26a441c-c45d-4bf1-abd1-12d3a57990ee · outbound

This paper cites Bayesian predictive approach to interim monitoring in clinical trials.Statistics in Medicine.2006;25(13):2178–2195.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Bayesian predictive approach to interim monitoring in clinical trials.Statistics in Medicine.2006;25(13):2178–2195

Reference 11

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.097009Z

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Observation 45515bc6-c564-4076-81c3-86bf92cb59b5 · outbound

This paper cites The utility of Bayesian predictive probabilities for interim monitoring of clinical trials.Clinical Trials.2014;11(4):485–493.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials The utility of Bayesian predictive probabilities for interim monitoring of clinical trials.Clinical Trials.2014;11(4):485–493

Reference 12

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.119478Z

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Observation a6dd8dd1-49a1-43bc-9c71-28822c8ed745 · outbound

This paper cites Phase II trial design with Bayesian adaptive randomization and predictive probability.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Phase II trial design with Bayesian adaptive randomization and predictive probability.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics

Reference 13

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.090322Z

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Observation 37c3b09d-6def-4286-908f-cd9a1e65e705 · outbound

This paper cites doi:10.1002/sim.9355.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials doi:10.1002/sim.9355

Reference 14

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.170237Z

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Observation 9732785c-e140-4772-8a89-89324af5bec0 · outbound

This paper cites Not too big, not too small: a goldilocks approach to sample size selection.Journal of Biopharmaceutic Statistics.2014;24(3):685–705.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Not too big, not too small: a goldilocks approach to sample size selection.Journal of Biopharmaceutic Statistics.2014;24(3):685–705

Reference 15

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Observation 6576d050-6898-4bb0-87d7-f855028b0858 · outbound

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A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.072699Z

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Observation 80038b21-7db3-4b92-8973-3a663b137803 · outbound

This paper cites A Bayesian approach for event predictions in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.Statistics in Medicine.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials A Bayesian approach for event predictions in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.Statistics in Medicine

Reference 17

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.054065Z

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Observation 23d9bc71-3443-45a9-b345-bcd116f4838f · outbound

This paper cites Bayesian Prediction of Event Times Using Mixture Model for Blinded Randomized Controlled Trials.Statistics in Medicine.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Bayesian Prediction of Event Times Using Mixture Model for Blinded Randomized Controlled Trials.Statistics in Medicine

Reference 18

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.021953Z

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Observation 4977c381-df16-4635-bb5d-f1fc1bceb446 · outbound

This paper cites Power prior distributions for generalized linear models.Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference.2000;84(1):121–137.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Power prior distributions for generalized linear models.Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference.2000;84(1):121–137

Reference 19

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.060900Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 662e208a-d718-4ec7-b7c4-59118a049492 · outbound

This paper cites Summarizing historical information on controls in clinical trials.Clinical Trials.2010;7(1):5–18.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Summarizing historical information on controls in clinical trials.Clinical Trials.2010;7(1):5–18

Reference 20

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.074230Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation eb2af3d3-8b0d-46bd-b933-839dda43d868 · outbound

This paper cites Unit information prior for adaptive information borrowing from multiple historical datasets.Statistics in Medicine.2021;40(25):5657–5672.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Unit information prior for adaptive information borrowing from multiple historical datasets.Statistics in Medicine.2021;40(25):5657–5672

Reference 21

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.090675Z

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Observation dfba563f-579b-4ec4-9c3b-78a52c0164f1 · outbound

This paper cites Hierarchical Commensurate and Power Prior Models for Adaptive Incorporation of Historical Information in Clinical Trials.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Hierarchical Commensurate and Power Prior Models for Adaptive Incorporation of Historical Information in Clinical Trials

Reference 22

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Observation 2cccab33-e96f-4260-9c77-9f1a1331935f · outbound

This paper cites Elastic priors to dynamically borrow information from historical data in clinical trials.Biometrics.2023;79(1):49–60.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Elastic priors to dynamically borrow information from historical data in clinical trials.Biometrics.2023;79(1):49–60

Reference 23

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Observation c8b2fc5b-be86-4a7d-b7ba-51f724c2f2c0 · outbound

This paper cites Predictive Probabilities Made Simple: A Fast and Accurate Method for Clinical Trial Decision-Making.Statistics in Medicine.2025;44(13–14):e70120.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Predictive Probabilities Made Simple: A Fast and Accurate Method for Clinical Trial Decision-Making.Statistics in Medicine.2025;44(13–14):e70120

Reference 24

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.085362Z

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Observation 47fbfc47-f16f-404d-85b6-1d505c821f6c · outbound

This paper cites An Algorithm for Restricted Least-Squares Regression.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials An Algorithm for Restricted Least-Squares Regression

Reference 25

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Observation 29d115e7-d1b9-46be-a6a7-e2eea51fdc47 · outbound

This paper cites New York: John Wiley & Sons 1988.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials New York: John Wiley & Sons 1988

Reference 26

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This paper cites Using simulation studies to evaluate statistical methods.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Using simulation studies to evaluate statistical methods

Reference 27

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Observation fcf1dcb6-4253-4f81-a6ca-52361de9ba3b · outbound

This paper cites Guidance Principle on the Application of Bayesian External Information Borrowing Methods in Drug Clinical Trials (Trial Version).

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Guidance Principle on the Application of Bayesian External Information Borrowing Methods in Drug Clinical Trials (Trial Version)

Reference 28

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Observation 0ebc7ec1-31a6-476d-8665-168ad50a258b · outbound

This paper cites Food and Drug Administration.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Food and Drug Administration

Reference 29

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Observation d36414e2-7ef5-4317-a3ca-a92b78d5caac · outbound

This paper cites Quantification of prior impact in terms of effective current sample size.Biometrics.2020;76(1):326–336.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Quantification of prior impact in terms of effective current sample size.Biometrics.2020;76(1):326–336

Reference 30

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Observation 45fb51a3-cea2-4584-a01b-772fec05e332 · outbound

This paper cites Power gains by using external information in clinical trials are typically not possible when requiring strict type I error control.Biometrical Journal.2020;62(2):361–374.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Power gains by using external information in clinical trials are typically not possible when requiring strict type I error control.Biometrical Journal.2020;62(2):361–374

Reference 31

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.181532Z

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Observation 4294e4df-8eec-4fd8-8edf-bd2bf65e0b07 · outbound

This paper cites doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1607303.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1607303

Reference 32

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.027928Z

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Observation 22baf7f2-a626-4712-9c0a-a18856d9de95 · outbound

This paper cites doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(14)71159-3.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(14)71159-3

Reference 33

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.035662Z

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Observation 019e07da-656e-44dd-934c-935f23624100 · outbound

This paper cites doi:10.1200/JCO.2015.63.5995.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials doi:10.1200/JCO.2015.63.5995

Reference 34

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.015988Z

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Observation 939fac83-6fc0-4bfc-8461-0b78d59533db · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Clinical Oncology.2013;31(26):3219–3225.

A Bayesian predictive framework for adaptive interim-analysis timing with robust borrowing in confirmatory trials Journal of Clinical Oncology.2013;31(26):3219–3225

Reference 35

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-11T21:08:17.108732Z

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