Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting

As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 11 of 11 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2607.12248.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2607.12248 v2

Coverage vector

measured 11 of 11 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.992237Z

measured 11 of 11 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

11 of 11 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved11
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation b415a4eb-eac2-4a08-8815-f92a4349d716 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.092100Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b491ab48-c1cf-4922-8f3a-9b1197ee94af · outbound

This paper cites LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.175573Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0e197d7b-8e37-42fc-9738-0890060dbfd5 · outbound

This paper cites Kim et al.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Kim et al

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.253316Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d426528b-9a7c-46fc-955b-968877720724 · outbound

This paper cites Financial Fine-tuning a Large Time Series Model.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Financial Fine-tuning a Large Time Series Model

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.346954Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 385e2e48-e0f3-459d-9ac4-6fc873339892 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.440367Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ee2ecad4-b1f5-44e4-8e56-2f0e3f4d11f3 · outbound

This paper cites Gneiting and A.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Gneiting and A

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.580493Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bcba8466-6604-4504-8d92-6d7ffddc00b2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.670319Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 60739b17-7825-4a6b-9f18-175f7b4dcbb9 · outbound

This paper cites Harvey, S.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Harvey, S

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.747363Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 39f40f78-c11d-46ce-abf2-a13e6ceb20fa · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.837439Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 36e08e96-edf3-47ec-9cb3-73f7db926ce4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.926448Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 204c5af4-205e-4a72-ad56-0ae4dad5b4a7 · outbound

This paper cites Benjamini and Y.

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting Benjamini and Y

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:40:18.992237Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.