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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

When are Bayesian model probabilities overconfident?

As of 9 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2003.04026.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2003.04026 v1

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 2 of 2 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00

measured 2 of 2 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-13T13:23:25.998584Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-03T06:17:42.529022Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved0
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 0b4ebb65-9591-4c6a-81d9-b03d351a3933 · inbound

Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models cites this paper.

Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models When are Bayesian model probabilities overconfident?

Reference 13

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T13:23:25.998584Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-13T13:23:25.998584Z digest=sha256:e8db0e0fa8863972a82f18104290b48a284cf0fc852a23f27f5b8264c678ecae

Observation ec98bef6-a80f-4067-bc88-3fce27696c75 · inbound

Robust Bayesian Predictive Model Selection using Bregman Divergence cites this paper.

Robust Bayesian Predictive Model Selection using Bregman Divergence When are Bayesian model probabilities overconfident?

Reference 131

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T06:17:42.530674Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-06-27T12:42:56.076745Z digest=sha256:5aabbbe3a426e690d71451f9032d049e64ea0ed584e0caa98ccaf325173174b3