REVIEW 3 major objections 4 minor 2 cited by
Black hole collisions, instabilities, and cosmic censorship violation at large D
T0 review · 3 major / 4 minor · reviewed 2026-08-14 · deepseek-v4-flash
Pith's one-line read Colliding black holes in higher dimensions may end in a naked singularity.
desk verdict New angular-momentum radiation formula and quantitative black-bar/black-string match are solid, but the finite-D cosmic censorship claim is weaker than the paper's own 'no plausible alternative' rhetoric. read the letter →
The pith
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
The reading
What carries the argument
The engine of the argument is the large-D effective theory, in which a black hole is a gaussian blob of mass density m(t,x) and momentum p_i(t,x) living on a black brane and obeying simple diffusion-like equations. Within that theory, the black bar is the explicit stationary solution (2.21)-(2.22): a rigidly rotating, oblong gaussian whose longitudinal length grows as 1/$\Omega$, so longer bars rotate more slowly. Its leading instability is shown to have a growth rate matching the black-string formula W approximately (($\sqrt$(3))/4)(J/M) - 1. For the finite-D radiation estimate, the load-bearing identity is dE/dt = $\Omega$ dJ/dt, derived from a new D-dimensional quadrupole formula for angular momentum; together with the factorial suppression of the energy rate, it yields a radiative spin-down time of order D^D in units of the instability time, which is order one.
What would settle it
Run a full numerical relativity simulation of a head-on, high-spin black hole collision in D=8, and in D=6 and 7, with total J/M above the bar-instability threshold. The paper predicts the bar pinches to a naked singularity; observing instead that the bar radiates angular momentum and settles to a stable Myers-Perry black hole would falsify the central claim. More narrowly, measuring the angular-momentum radiation of a rotating black bar at D=6 and checking the new quadrupole formula (B.45) would test the key input.
Extended reading notes
Core claim
The central claim is that a collision of two spinning black holes with sufficient total angular momentum does not simply merge and settle into a stationary black hole. Instead, the merged horizon spends many rotation cycles as a nearly stationary, elongated bar, whose deformation grows at a rate that matches the Gregory-Laflamme instability of black strings. Because the bar can be arbitrarily long and the space has no compact direction to confine it, the pinch at the center is not halted, and the horizon reaches a singularity in finite time. The authors compute gravitational radiation from the bar in any D using a quadrupole formula, prove the general relation dE/dt = $\Omega$ dJ/dt, and find the spin-down time grows factorially with D while the instability time is order one; therefore, for large enough D (most likely D greater than or similar to 8), the bar fragments before radiation can save cosmic censorship. They also show that unstable ultraspinning Myers-Perry black holes generically evolve by breaking off smaller black holes, with transient black rings for axisymmetric perturbations and multi-pronged arms for higher non-axisymmetric modes.
Load-bearing premise
Everything at finite D rests on the assumption that the quadrupole radiation formula for a slowly moving, weakly gravitating ellipsoid correctly describes the spin-down of a strong-field black-hole horizon, including the relation dE/dt = $\Omega$ dJ/dt and the unspecified order-one factor c; if radiation is faster than estimated, the pinch may be quenched, especially near D=6.
Editorial extensions
If this is right
- For any D greater than or similar to 8 with enough total angular momentum, the endpoint of a two-black-hole merger is a naked singularity, so cosmic censorship fails in higher-dimensional general relativity.
- Just before the singularity, the horizon forms a Planck-scale neck; if quantum gravity evaporates it like a hot droplet, the long-term outcome is two outgoing black holes whose momenta differ from the initial ones only by Planck-suppressed uncertainties.
- Ultraspinning black holes at large D die by fragmentation: they shed excess spin by breaking off smaller black holes, rather than by radiating it away.
- The radiative relation dE/dt = Omega dJ/dt holds for rigidly rotating emitters in all dimensions, so the spin-down of any such bar is fixed once its energy radiation is known.
- The black-bar instability is quantitatively the Gregory-Laflamme instability of a black string segment, which lets one predict bar break-up times from string data.
Reading between the lines
- The paper does not commit to a precise lower critical dimension; if the order-one coefficient c in its radiation estimate is favorable, the same violation could occur down to D=6, a claim that existing finite-dimension numerical codes can test directly.
- The same bar-pinch mechanism may apply to other high-energy processes, such as black hole formation from grazing ultrarelativistic particle collisions, whenever the merged horizon is sufficiently elongated and rapidly spinning.
- The new D-dimensional angular-momentum quadrupole formula provides a benchmark: full nonlinear simulations of bar-mode instabilities at D=6 and D=7 could measure dJ/dt and compare with the formula, sharpening the estimate of the critical dimension for cosmic censorship violation.
Signed reviews
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The manuscript uses the large-D effective theory of black holes to simulate, in 2+1 effective dimensions, collisions of spinning black holes and the non-linear evolution of ultraspinning Myers-Perry black holes. It identifies rotating black bars as long-lived intermediate states in mergers with sufficiently high angular momentum per unit mass, shows that the instability of these bars tracks the Gregory-Laflamme instability of black strings (Section 5.2), and uses this to argue for pinch-off towards a naked singularity. To connect to finite D, the authors compute the quadrupolar gravitational-radiation spin-down of a rotating bar (Section 6 and Appendix B), including a new derivation of the angular-momentum radiation formula in even D, and compare the radiative time scale with the Gregory-Laflamme instability time. They conclude that for sufficiently large D, and 'very likely for D ≳ 8', radiation is too slow to quench the instability, so cosmic censorship is violated; additional simulations show transient black rings and multi-pronged horizons in ultraspinning black hole evolutions. The paper is clearly written and the numerical evidence is presented carefully.
Significance. The large-D effective approach converts a hard time-dependent problem into tractable partial differential equations, and the paper substantially strengthens the case that higher-dimensional black hole collisions and instabilities can have cosmic-censorship-violating endpoints. The quantitative match between measured bar growth rates and the black-string formula (Figure 15), the demonstration of intermediate bar formation with excellent agreement to analytic profiles (Figure 8), and the first derivation of the quadrupolar angular-momentum emission formula in D dimensions (Appendix B.3) are valuable contributions. The work also makes falsifiable predictions for finite-D numerical relativity, in particular a critical spin above which fragmentation beats radiation and a critical dimension above which the bar instability dominates. However, the finite-D extrapolation is the weakest link; the paper itself acknowledges several hurdles, and the D ≈ 8 claim is not yet established by the presented estimates.
major comments (3)
- [Sec. 6.2–6.3, Eqs. (6.21), (6.29)] The comparison of time scales uses the linear Gregory-Laflamme growth time τ_inst, but Section 6.2 states that in black-string simulations the time to form a large pinch can be 'significantly larger than τ_inst, possibly even two orders of magnitude larger'. This matters numerically: from (6.21) and (6.29), with the common factor (8GM/Ω^{D−4})^{1/(D−3)} cancelled, τ_rad/τ_inst = D Γ((D−1)/2)^2/(2π c), which at D=8 is about 14/c. A nonlinear pinch delay of even 10 τ_inst, or c of order a few, therefore reverses the race at D=8, allowing spin-down to quench the instability. The statement in Section 3.4.1 that centrifugal repulsion 'will accelerate the pinching faster' is not quantified, and the observed faster pinch in the effective-theory simulations cannot by itself settle the finite-D competition because those simulations contain no gravitational radiation. The finite-D conclusion for D ≈ 8 should be softened to an extrapolation unless a quantitative bound on the nonlinear pinch time for black bars is provided.
- [App. B.3, Eq. (B.19), Sec. 6.3] The angular-momentum radiation rate (B.45) is derived using the retarded Green's function (B.19), which the authors state holds 'as long as D is even'. Nevertheless, the spin-down time (6.21) is used for all D ≳ 8 and in the 'possibly down to D=6' discussion, including odd D=7. No odd-D derivation or interpolation argument is given. The finite-D comparison should be explicitly restricted to even D, or an odd-D treatment should be supplied, before the D=7 statement can be made.
- [Sec. 6.1, Eq. (6.11), Sec. 6.3] The central spin-down estimate contains an undetermined O(1) coefficient c from Eq. (6.11), and Section 6.3 acknowledges that the exponent in 2^D may easily be modified. With the printed formulas, at D=8 one has τ_rad > τ_inst only for c ≲ 14, and at D=7 only for c ≲ 4.5, so the abstract's 'very likely for D ≳ 8' requires c to be near the lower end of O(1) and also requires the nonlinear pinch delay to be absent. The sentence in Section 6.3 claiming that the prefactor comparison holds 'unless c>9' appears inconsistent with the ratio following from (6.21) and (6.29) and should be rechecked. A sensitivity analysis over c and over the nonlinear-delay factor is needed; absent that, the robust statement is only 'for sufficiently large D'.
minor comments (4)
- [Fig. 6 caption] The caption says 'The dashed and continuous lines correspond to stationary MP black holes and black bars' but does not identify which line type refers to which solution; please make this explicit.
- [Fig. 8 caption] The word 'analityc' should be 'analytic'.
- [Section 6, first paragraph] The terms 'death by fragmentation' and 'death by radiation' are used without definition; please define them at first use, since they carry the interpretation of the two competing channels.
- [Appendix B.1 and B.2] The quadrupole calculation models the black bar as a rigidly rotating ellipsoid with constant mass density, but the conditions under which this weak-field, slow-motion approximation applies to a strong-field black hole horizon are never stated; a sentence making this limitation explicit would help readers calibrate the estimate.
Circularity Check
No significant circularity: the finite-D race between radiative spin-down and GL-type pinch is a genuine comparison with external benchmarks, not a quantity put in by construction.
full rationale
The central derivation chain is not circular. The collision and bar evolutions are solutions of the large-D effective equations previously derived in [2,12] by the same group, but the paper does not ask the reader to accept the CC-violation claim on the strength of that citation alone: the bar's GL-type instability is cross-checked against the known Gregory-Laflamme instability and its blackfold description [7,15], and against external finite-D numerical simulations [8,26,27]. The spin-down estimate in Sec. 6 and App. B is an actual calculation: the energy loss uses the D-dimensional quadrupole formula of [9], and the angular-momentum rate is derived from first principles in App. B.3, leading to dE/dt = Omega dJ/dt (Eq. 6.13). Applying it to black bars is an explicitly stated model (rotating ellipsoid, App. B.1), not a renamed input. The only unknown coefficient c in Eq. (6.21) is openly identified as an O(1) uncertainty, including possible corrections to the 2^D exponent, and is not fitted from the claimed outcome. The conclusion tau_inst << tau_rad for large D follows from comparing Eq. (6.21) with Eq. (6.29), two independent estimates, and the paper explicitly flags the weak links: the large-D theory cannot itself exhibit a naked pinch (Sec. 3.4.1), the nonlinear pinch time may be up to two orders of magnitude larger than tau_inst (Sec. 6.2), and the minimum dimension D~6-8 is uncertain (Secs. 6.3, 7). These are correctness limitations, not circular reductions. Self-citations to [2,12,14,15] supply the framework and benchmark formulas, but the load-bearing comparisons also involve external results, so no step reduces to its own input by construction.
Assumptions & free parameters
free parameters (1)
- c =
Undetermined order-one constant; must be small enough (roughly below 9 to 30 depending on D) for the D around 8…
assumptions (6)
- domain assumption The large-D effective equations (2.1)-(2.2) capture the dynamics of localized black holes over long times.
- domain assumption The post-merger elongated horizon behaves as a stationary black bar, so its instability rate follows from the black-string analogy (5.5).
- domain assumption The D-dimensional quadrupole formula applies to a black bar modeled as a rigidly rotating ellipsoid.
- domain assumption Black string and black bar Gregory-Laflamme instabilities end in a naked singularity rather than settling to a stable non-uniform configuration.
- domain assumption Radiative spin-down proceeds quasistatically, so the first law and dE/dt = Omega dJ/dt hold during emission.
- standard math The angular momentum radiation formula in Appendix B.3 follows from standard transverse-traceless decomposition and stress-energy conservation.
Cite this review
Pith. "Pith review of Black hole collisions, instabilities, and cosmic censorship violation at large D." pith.science (2026). https://pith.science/paper/4CYDKUEK
@misc{pith2026190803424,
author = {Pith},
title = {Pith review of: Black hole collisions, instabilities, and cosmic censorship violation at large D},
year = {2026},
howpublished = {\url{https://pith.science/paper/4CYDKUEK}},
note = {Machine review of arXiv:1908.03424}
}
abstract
We study the evolution of black hole collisions and ultraspinning black hole instabilities in higher dimensions. These processes can be efficiently solved numerically in an effective theory in the limit of large number of dimensions D. We present evidence that they lead to violations of cosmic censorship. The post-merger evolution of the collision of two black holes with total angular momentum above a certain value is governed by the properties of a resonance-like intermediate state: a long-lived, rotating black bar, which pinches off towards a naked singularity due to an instability akin to that of black strings. We compute the radiative loss of spin for a rotating bar using the quadrupole formula at finite D, and argue that at large enough D ---very likely for $D\gtrsim 8$, but possibly down to D=6--- the spin-down is too inefficient to quench this instability. We also study the instabilities of ultraspinning black holes by solving numerically the time evolution of axisymmetric and non-axisymmetric perturbations. We demonstrate the development of transient black rings in the former case, and of multi-pronged horizons in the latter, which then proceed to pinch and, arguably, fragment into smaller black holes.
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Forward citations
Cited by 2 Pith papers
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In holographic models with a good-singularity ground state, a boost-invariant expanding fluid drives the dual horizon curvature to diverge in classical gravity.
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The Fate of Instability of de Sitter Black Holes at Large $D$
At large D, RN-dS and GB-dS black holes evolve to stationary lumpy solutions on the instability threshold, and in the unstable region their mass localizes into spot-like or ring-like configurations.
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