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PROSPECT: A profile likelihood code for frequentist cosmological parameter inference

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arxiv 2312.02972 v3 pith:7EECUIPD submitted 2023-12-05 astro-ph.CO astro-ph.IMhep-ph

classification astro-ph.COastro-ph.IMhep-ph
keywords prospectchoicecodemodelparameterprofileapproachbayesian
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Cosmological parameter inference has been dominated by the Bayesian approach for the past two decades, primarily due to its computational efficiency. However, the Bayesian approach involves integration of the posterior probability and therefore depends on both the choice of model parametrisation and the choice of prior on the model parameter space. In some cases, this can lead to conclusions which are driven by choice of parametrisation and priors rather than by data. The profile likelihood method provides a complementary frequentist tool which can be used to investigate this effect. In this paper, we present the code PROSPECT for computing profile likelihoods in cosmology. We showcase the code using a phenomenological model for converting dark matter into dark radiation that suffers from large volume effects and prior dependence. PROSPECT is compatible with both cobaya and MontePython, and is publicly available at https://github.com/AarhusCosmology/prospect_public.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Neutrino mass limits and decaying dark matter: background evolution versus perturbations

    astro-ph.CO 2026-03 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    Decaying dark matter can hide neutrino mass from expansion-history data, but CMB lensing unmasks it and restores ∑mν ≲ 0.079 eV.

  2. Tightening constraints on primordial oscillations with latest ACT and SPT data

    astro-ph.CO 2025-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Combining ACT DR6, SPT-3G D1, and Planck CMB data tightens the 95% upper limits on primordial oscillation amplitudes to about 0.029, with no significant signal.

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