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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

As of 9 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 3 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2411.08324.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2411.08324 v2

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 3 of 3 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00

measured 3 of 3 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T12:03:10.072436Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.132161Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved0
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 81d3b48b-6987-454d-a686-529767dd38d6 · inbound

Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters cites this paper.

Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:03:10.072436Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T12:03:10.072436Z digest=sha256:f41b8b237ef6addd3cc06b05be07b0b758ddbf01527cf9f9533e898329ff4d2b

Observation 83620d71-1191-41d7-81c9-2878bd9c5b34 · inbound

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning cites this paper.

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

Reference 27

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.652552Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-06-27T09:47:04.122464Z digest=sha256:c276e08194187e78e1ac5a4c3a958ae0dd7292be3f81481acafed640c74c62fd

Observation 2b794d08-7a0b-459e-9a48-a6dd0d0d22f8 · inbound

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting cites this paper.

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

Reference 4

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.133931Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-26T14:42:29.128094Z digest=sha256:e02230af20c6386a4ba5820915730b7a17ee32dc2bff3d3e60433981ea746dc1