Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference

As of 13 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 22 of 22 outbound references and 3 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2602.04596.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2602.04596 v2

Coverage vector

measured 22 of 22 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.696386Z

measured 25 of 25 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00

measured 3 of 3 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-01T19:13:51.599064Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-11T15:36:08.410357Z

Reference resolution

22 of 22 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved22
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malformed identifier0
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External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation e998571b-5767-41e8-b53c-64049722e874 · outbound

This paper cites and Hu, J.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Hu, J

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.284233Z

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Observation 1289e7d1-8d2e-4f31-a76e-8aa4bcd48209 · outbound

This paper cites and Cappello, L.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Cappello, L

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.378850Z

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Observation 8e740282-b6bb-4784-97b7-8c6f8cff2b25 · outbound

This paper cites A central limit theorem and its applications to multicolor randomly reinforced urns.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference A central limit theorem and its applications to multicolor randomly reinforced urns

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.540570Z

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Observation 552b2c79-2a8d-4ace-8679-55887a5b925d · outbound

This paper cites and Yiu, A.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Yiu, A

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.649486Z

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Observation 8dc8c122-5dc1-4526-9e96-0597bdc93469 · outbound

This paper cites and Yiu, A.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Yiu, A

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.743146Z

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Observation d4b2f9f5-3e0d-4ba1-872b-6564d4f8b4c7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.863905Z

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Observation 40aa08b0-abe2-4c61-989c-8565bf76cf78 · outbound

This paper cites and Petrone, S.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Petrone, S

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:17.975344Z

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Observation c378038d-820d-47d7-ba2f-32cab6b083af · outbound

This paper cites and Petrone, S.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Petrone, S

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.139407Z

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Observation 8fc565f0-bcc8-4924-a45a-80e24e631b48 · outbound

This paper cites and Petrone, S.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference and Petrone, S

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.318112Z

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Observation 26aa2bd6-1ee7-4c0a-a8e9-98d8893cafda · outbound

This paper cites On a notion of partially conditionally identically distributed sequences.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference On a notion of partially conditionally identically distributed sequences

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.473099Z

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Observation c70962cb-9f2e-4cd4-b4e5-44bc39267386 · outbound

This paper cites K., Catt, E., Dutordoir, V., Grau-Moya , J., Orseau, L., Hutter, M., and Veness, J.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference K., Catt, E., Dutordoir, V., Grau-Moya , J., Orseau, L., Hutter, M., and Veness, J

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.582415Z

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Observation 185f5049-601f-4ac7-8703-93d154ff3ac0 · outbound

This paper cites K., Mattern, C., Aitchison, M., and Veness, J.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference K., Mattern, C., Aitchison, M., and Veness, J

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.658452Z

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Observation 33328fdb-53e6-469d-9739-ca20a7673ad5 · outbound

This paper cites S., Wilson, A.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference S., Wilson, A

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.724813Z

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Observation a59a796f-0125-4e50-8620-958bc5db64e6 · outbound

This paper cites u ller, S., Purucker, L., Krishnakumar, A., K \.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference u ller, S., Purucker, L., Krishnakumar, A., K \

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.799817Z

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Observation 88cea5f1-86db-4999-8aa4-5091e3a17244 · outbound

This paper cites S., Si, J., Valdettaro, F., Chen, W., Faisal, A.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference S., Si, J., Valdettaro, F., Chen, W., Faisal, A

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:18.873861Z

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Observation 5289bc17-8992-48ca-afa9-d15d253b4052 · outbound

This paper cites Foundations of Modern Probability , volume 99 of Probability Theory and Stochastic Modelling.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference Foundations of Modern Probability , volume 99 of Probability Theory and Stochastic Modelling

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.002023Z

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Observation 21111bf5-92ac-417b-8795-0015c5afa416 · outbound

This paper cites Meta-trained agents implement Bayes-optimal agents.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference Meta-trained agents implement Bayes-optimal agents

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.072669Z

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Observation a1ecb0ef-a774-426f-8df6-113d29a6f164 · outbound

This paper cites Uncertainty Quantification for Prior-Data Fitted Networks using Martingale Posteriors.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference Uncertainty Quantification for Prior-Data Fitted Networks using Martingale Posteriors

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.242889Z

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Observation 43a73279-ddc1-4e64-91fc-f10df4b479b6 · outbound

This paper cites TabMGP: Martingale Posterior with TabPFN.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference TabMGP: Martingale Posterior with TabPFN

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.387526Z

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Observation f9a0004b-25ad-4db8-9e44-54aecf233e29 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.479871Z

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Observation dd7bc6a3-1c4a-45f1-81ff-3d1a475714dc · outbound

This paper cites Meta-learning of Sequential Strategies.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference Meta-learning of Sequential Strategies

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.571907Z

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Observation dd16830d-8817-4229-b07a-a4e3bb888df4 · outbound

This paper cites TabPFN documentation: Intended use.

Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference TabPFN documentation: Intended use

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T04:39:19.696386Z

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Pith citing papers

Observation ed206830-278a-4a92-b400-797f23224976 · inbound

Concentration and Calibration in Predictive Bayesian Inference cites this paper.

Concentration and Calibration in Predictive Bayesian Inference Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference

Reference 13

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-21T02:20:34.819746Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation e4241209-6772-48b7-a18b-1aae3a3454f9 · inbound

What does a Bayes-filtered transformer believe? A predictive Monte Carlo approach cites this paper.

What does a Bayes-filtered transformer believe? A predictive Monte Carlo approach Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T19:13:51.599064Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 59c064a8-05cd-4a29-9eb6-c3f03c63c801 · inbound

Elicitation without Backpropagation: Steering Model Behavior by Optimizing the Latent Posterior cites this paper.

Elicitation without Backpropagation: Steering Model Behavior by Optimizing the Latent Posterior Uncertainty Decomposition for Bayes-Filtered Transformers via Bayesian Predictive Inference

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T14:25:45.412962Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.