Young Black Holes Have Smooth Horizons: A Swampland Argument

It has been suggested that black hole microstates in string theory may have "no interiors". The arguments of arXiv:2312.14108 suggest that even if this were the case, conventional bulk EFT should be valid at the horizon for black holes that are not too old. Here, we explore the validity of bulk EFT for young black holes from a different perspective, by considering the gravitational collapse of scalar moduli. This builds on arXiv:2003.05488, which studied the numerical collapse of a scalar field in a Choptuik-like set up. Evidence was presented there for two observations -- (a) For every scalar profile that results in collapse, the scalar field undergoes trans-Planckian variation, (b) Every trans-Planckian scalar motion is hidden behind an apparent horizon. The results of arXiv:2003.05488 were mostly obtained in regimes close to critical collapse, where scale-separation was difficult to achieve. In this paper, we study the same system in super-critical regimes. This allows us to study the localization properties of scalar variations inside the apparent horizon by separating the horizon and singularity scales. We find strong evidence that the $\mathcal{O}(1)$ scalar variation is localized around the curvature divergence, and is hierarchically well-separated from the apparent horizon. Because $\mathcal{O}(1)$ scalar movement is associated to the breakdown of bulk EFT according to the swampland distance conjecture, this is an indication that bulk EFT is well-behaved in the interiors of young black holes. Our results suggest the perspective that cosmic censorship is a mechanism for preserving bulk EFT between the horizon and the singularity.