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Comment on "Strong Evidence for the Normal Neutrino Hierarchy"
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Comment on "Strong Evidence for the Normal Neutrino Hierarchy"
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In the preprint arxiv:1703.03425 "strong evidence" for the normal neutrino mass ordering is claimed. The authors obtain Bayesian odds of 42:1 in favour of the normal ordering. Their conclusion is based on adopting a flat logarithmic prior for the three neutrino masses. Such an assumption favours a hierarchical spectrum for the masses, which is much easier to accommodate for the normal mass ordering, and hence their prior assumption makes the inverted ordering much less likely a priori. We argue that the claimed "evidence" for normal ordering is almost entirely driven by the adopted prior and not due to the data itself.
Forward citations
Cited by 2 Pith papers
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From Evidence to Evident: Decisive Cosmological Evidence for the Normal Neutrino Mass Hierarchy
DESI DR2 data constrain the neutrino mass sum below the inverted hierarchy minimum, yielding Bayes factor K>460 for normal hierarchy in standard cosmology.
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The Coherence Principle: A Falsifiable Prior for Model Selection from the Grammar of Theories
The Coherence Principle supplies a falsifiable prior for Bayesian model selection by converting compatibility with a theory's validated grammar into prior weights via a maximum-entropy exponential controlled by one parameter.
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