Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics

As of 14 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 33 of 33 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2606.02981.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2606.02981 v1

Coverage vector

measured 33 of 33 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

measured 33 of 33 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

33 of 33 outbound references displayed

verified exact13
verified fuzzy0
unresolved18
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch2

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 3c526e6d-2e1e-457c-926a-303993caaa15 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8156c56e-a3bd-4c41-9d65-b7443832468c · outbound

This paper cites Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Sampling.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Sampling

Reference 2

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.643304Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 90b96716-7ba7-4398-9a27-553fd90a9efa · outbound

This paper cites Revealing the structure of language model capabilities.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Revealing the structure of language model capabilities

Reference 3

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.633610Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 6e2f37c5-49ba-4639-95a5-0bccf8cc7c2e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation dfdc200f-75bb-4a56-946c-0c9700e19d88 · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code

Reference 5

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.654967Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation d57756d6-7122-4419-be03-16d4bd683a56 · outbound

This paper cites Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge

Reference 6

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.652489Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation fea5f337-4f2d-4e49-9b78-bd819098ed9b · outbound

This paper cites Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems

Reference 7

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.638657Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 16ea9ca0-0884-4a8c-a187-fd35a3e072da · outbound

This paper cites KTO: Model Alignment as Prospect Theoretic Optimization.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics KTO: Model Alignment as Prospect Theoretic Optimization

Reference 8

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.640849Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation da0f39ee-f801-4bf6-8639-4e48f317d994 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e9a71635-10ce-4475-90f3-8f6252d83fb3 · outbound

This paper cites Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.636356Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 21280053-9233-4c17-915b-c99877fd1f8c · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 69c3d450-ec67-4ada-9247-ae260ec8647c · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c116f993-4c51-47cc-ad4b-cb2d39e08a41 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2d138154-f049-45ac-9490-4e99fe756141 · outbound

This paper cites Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know

Reference 14

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.649990Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 0c41192f-f306-49dc-b451-eeba96e3cc4f · outbound

This paper cites Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models

Reference 15

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Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 68678988-6a3a-450d-ab97-f9c128ff02c1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f40c3a42-f20a-4c25-a61e-d4d823929a29 · outbound

This paper cites Gonzalez, Hao Zhang, and Ion Stoica.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Gonzalez, Hao Zhang, and Ion Stoica

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5afcf86c-8b53-4bd3-92b0-51712d4ca580 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 38390a9f-cec2-4a6c-b098-c4bbcf40f30f · outbound

This paper cites Skywork-Reward: Bag of Tricks for Reward Modeling in LLMs.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Skywork-Reward: Bag of Tricks for Reward Modeling in LLMs

Reference 19

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.628266Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 62c692c0-01fa-4d62-a91b-7168d2aa6a6f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 70f5f1e8-c63d-440a-926a-6b2e60504a4d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 36450f46-e393-46ae-a508-89d4acc2067d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e11a115b-a838-4bd6-8ac0-bea870ec70f3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4fa74a87-6709-4698-81e2-53eaed65cf4d · outbound

This paper cites Manning, and Chelsea Finn.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Manning, and Chelsea Finn

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5e99705e-e139-42fe-8ec7-b016308adb5e · outbound

This paper cites Observational Scaling Laws and the Predictability of Language Model Performance.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Observational Scaling Laws and the Predictability of Language Model Performance

Reference 25

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.628718Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation c7d65024-dcb7-4633-a1a7-a9eb556bf980 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d2f46897-f1ee-4a6e-9561-6064b9e1fd12 · outbound

This paper cites DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models

Reference 27

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.630979Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation e96ce252-1b2c-4269-bc5d-8059238adde1 · outbound

This paper cites Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters

Reference 28

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.662234Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 93f310e5-331d-4377-bfbd-fa12cfe7ef50 · outbound

This paper cites Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback

Reference 29

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.646806Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation f0e08813-c142-4ad6-8149-de396faeac89 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e0180538-1b43-4b74-92be-6b0ba50c0964 · outbound

This paper cites Le, Ed H.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Le, Ed H

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 61203fec-2658-46c1-8f4a-00ae74b712e9 · outbound

This paper cites Inference Scaling Laws: An Empirical Analysis of Compute-Optimal Inference for Problem-Solving with Language Models.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Inference Scaling Laws: An Empirical Analysis of Compute-Optimal Inference for Problem-Solving with Language Models

Reference 32

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-02T02:16:26.659705Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-13T06:32:02.005865+00:00.

Observation 2bd0e3b5-b544-4a63-92c2-fc129d81dace · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Predicting Inference-Time Scaling Gains from Labeled Validation-Set Output Statistics Unresolved cited work

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T11:06:15.364142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.