Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms | Paper Citation Record

Observation 80f544e5-6b27-4710-96f9-7482b70a38db · outbound

This paper cites Routing to the Expert: Efficient Reward-guided Ensemble of Large Language Models.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Routing to the Expert: Efficient Reward-guided Ensemble of Large Language Models

Reference 1

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Observation 4cad8154-657c-4887-b5ca-0383b3fc0392 · outbound

This paper cites RouterDC: Query-based router by dual contrastive learning for assembling large language models.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms RouterDC: Query-based router by dual contrastive learning for assembling large language models

Reference 2

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Observation a5750fe5-467e-4bf2-9b03-e662cbbb22e9 · outbound

This paper cites Gonzalez, M Waleed Kadous, and Ion Stoica.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Gonzalez, M Waleed Kadous, and Ion Stoica

Reference 3

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Observation f5298e4d-22fd-4f33-8671-314a573eb3b0 · outbound

This paper cites IRT-router: Effective and interpretable multi-LLM routing via item response theory.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms IRT-router: Effective and interpretable multi-LLM routing via item response theory

Reference 4

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Observation 34fc3310-a3f9-4a3e-88d3-3d11ffb0fbd3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

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Observation 6b6b67f3-361b-4640-b09f-e41923cbdac1 · outbound

This paper cites Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models

Reference 6

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Observation 2e93d527-f6cd-4803-86f2-af56142c0205 · outbound

This paper cites Improving Factuality and Reasoning in Language Models through Multiagent Debate.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Improving Factuality and Reasoning in Language Models through Multiagent Debate

Reference 7

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Observation 1a85fe3f-d8d8-423b-948c-1ba0cd9f2529 · outbound

This paper cites Debate or vote: Which yields better decisions in multi-agent large language models? InThe Thirty-ninth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 2025.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Debate or vote: Which yields better decisions in multi-agent large language models? InThe Thirty-ninth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 2025

Reference 8

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Observation c5eb0e99-7d97-4751-85f0-406f44991341 · outbound

This paper cites Scalable best-of-n selection for large language models via self-certainty.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Scalable best-of-n selection for large language models via self-certainty

Reference 9

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Observation 72d19912-9fad-46a5-80cc-79dc7b18e0d4 · outbound

This paper cites Pack of LLMs: Model fusion at test-time via perplexity optimization.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Pack of LLMs: Model fusion at test-time via perplexity optimization

Reference 10

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Observation a099ca00-3b01-4e42-9df5-ec3093f17fd6 · outbound

This paper cites Lambert, John Langford, Jennifer Wortman, Yiling Chen, Daniel Reeves, Yoav Shoham, and David M.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Lambert, John Langford, Jennifer Wortman, Yiling Chen, Daniel Reeves, Yoav Shoham, and David M

Reference 11

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Observation 56419d11-a884-425a-a5ff-dcf74bb16019 · outbound

This paper cites Lambert, John Langford, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan, Yiling Chen, Daniel M.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Lambert, John Langford, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan, Yiling Chen, Daniel M

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z

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Observation 1f656b1b-811f-4447-a560-e90edec982a5 · outbound

This paper cites Devanur, David M.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Devanur, David M

Reference 13

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Observation 0a7e1272-29ff-42d9-8626-dc7763eb00ab · outbound

This paper cites Pennock, and Jennifer Wortman Vaughan.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Pennock, and Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

Reference 14

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Observation 3c72ebea-e59f-4b30-b6ad-119bcd3aa81e · outbound

This paper cites Harnessing Multiple Large Language Models: A Survey on LLM Ensemble.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Harnessing Multiple Large Language Models: A Survey on LLM Ensemble

Reference 15

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Observation 19e7ec67-eb45-419f-a14b-7180b7d5221e · outbound

This paper cites More agents is all you need.Transactions on Machine Learning Research, 2024.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms More agents is all you need.Transactions on Machine Learning Research, 2024

Reference 16

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Observation 8f596e64-fcb1-48f6-a0b9-d209a2096924 · outbound

This paper cites Breaking the ceiling of the LLM community by treating token generation as a classification for ensembling.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Breaking the ceiling of the LLM community by treating token generation as a classification for ensembling

Reference 17

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Observation 03b2724d-b34b-4f09-8add-d75add9ca66f · outbound

This paper cites Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know

Reference 18

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Observation 9249db28-de6a-4cb1-a9b0-a1a8f21a04d3 · outbound

This paper cites The internal state of an LLM knows when it’s lying.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms The internal state of an LLM knows when it’s lying

Reference 19

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Observation 96ace5ba-f525-4fbc-ae77-93d844a328e8 · outbound

This paper cites Enhancing uncertainty estimation in LLMs with expectation of aggregated internal belief.Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 40(40):34043–34051, Mar.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Enhancing uncertainty estimation in LLMs with expectation of aggregated internal belief.Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 40(40):34043–34051, Mar

Reference 20

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Observation 2a8098d3-57db-4305-bc22-a35a74ec689a · outbound

This paper cites Large language model routing with benchmark datasets.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Large language model routing with benchmark datasets

Reference 21

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Observation 5c820063-5ad4-4a98-9341-a86ad005d1c6 · outbound

This paper cites Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback

Reference 22

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Observation 6e04e1d2-2ba4-4531-bd53-313b7d90db67 · outbound

This paper cites LLM-blender: Ensembling large language models with pairwise ranking and generative fusion.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms LLM-blender: Ensembling large language models with pairwise ranking and generative fusion

Reference 23

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Observation 5e407d3b-abc6-4812-a331-f002f987fade · outbound

This paper cites Let's Verify Step by Step.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Let's Verify Step by Step

Reference 24

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Observation 0671b9ff-afc8-451c-8062-dafbcbab9637 · outbound

This paper cites Mechanism design for large language models.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Mechanism design for large language models

Reference 25

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Observation f26b4916-9388-4add-93ef-8b94fadd0ec9 · outbound

This paper cites Auctions with llm summaries.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Auctions with llm summaries

Reference 26

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Observation 48ca851b-79c4-41f7-b352-eec4a12e8fb2 · outbound

This paper cites Data- driven mechanism design: Jointly eliciting preferences and information.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Data- driven mechanism design: Jointly eliciting preferences and information

Reference 27

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Observation 560fe664-08cf-45a9-8e74-d6777e2e4203 · outbound

This paper cites Truthful aggregation of LLMs with an application to online advertising.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Truthful aggregation of LLMs with an application to online advertising

Reference 28

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Observation 2e715a6d-a82d-4f5e-b4b2-bdb3d264e0f6 · outbound

This paper cites Is your LLM outdated? a deep look at temporal generalization.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Is your LLM outdated? a deep look at temporal generalization

Reference 29

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Observation f7b463ef-7a7c-4b95-9988-58b671b00375 · outbound

This paper cites Are LLMs prescient? a continuous evaluation using daily news as the oracle.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Are LLMs prescient? a continuous evaluation using daily news as the oracle

Reference 30

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Observation e0c9c84f-ce9a-4f5e-aed3-09f35d94155c · outbound

This paper cites Forecasting future world events with neural networks.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Forecasting future world events with neural networks

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Observation 2202fefd-6983-47e4-a56c-5582bcd4d992 · outbound

This paper cites Approaching human-level forecasting with language models.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Approaching human-level forecasting with language models

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Observation 888e3cb3-deff-4204-a730-de4a5e7333f9 · outbound

This paper cites ForecastQA: A question answering challenge for event forecasting with temporal text data.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms ForecastQA: A question answering challenge for event forecasting with temporal text data

Reference 33

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Observation 069d5f77-a216-40da-a269-8dc3f8c26487 · outbound

This paper cites Analyzing temporal complex events with large language models? a benchmark towards temporal, long context understanding.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Analyzing temporal complex events with large language models? a benchmark towards temporal, long context understanding

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Observation d18c8b32-988b-4a36-9391-a8802feb1a00 · outbound

This paper cites Forecastbench: A dynamic benchmark of AI forecasting capabilities.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Forecastbench: A dynamic benchmark of AI forecasting capabilities

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Observation 32851491-fd05-47e5-95c9-7fbf01826f02 · outbound

This paper cites OpenForecast: A large-scale open-ended event forecasting dataset.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms OpenForecast: A large-scale open-ended event forecasting dataset

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Observation 498f3c86-cc5f-413e-9032-7a07a0b7f324 · outbound

This paper cites FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

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Observation 786946a9-bc87-4dd5-a0e2-558771c0c6f7 · outbound

This paper cites OpenEP: Open-ended future event prediction.ACM Trans.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms OpenEP: Open-ended future event prediction.ACM Trans

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Observation a904b205-2512-4c9c-a435-9b3cffae89e2 · outbound

This paper cites LLM-as-a-prophet: Understanding predictive intelligence with prophet arena.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms LLM-as-a-prophet: Understanding predictive intelligence with prophet arena

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Observation 926b7cd7-74cc-4479-9e27-fa18e8868451 · outbound

This paper cites Park, Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos, and Philip E.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Park, Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos, and Philip E

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Observation 87f23c5d-86df-4919-b2c4-4de126935954 · outbound

This paper cites Pennock, Chara Podimata, and Jennifer Wortman Vaughan.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Pennock, Chara Podimata, and Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

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Observation a3d8a42a-b6e4-4d9b-a4c8-3bc884729de4 · outbound

This paper cites A market for trading forecasts: A wagering mechanism.International Journal of Forecasting, 40(1):142–159, 2024.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms A market for trading forecasts: A wagering mechanism.International Journal of Forecasting, 40(1):142–159, 2024

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Observation cca3d90c-6b20-4bcb-9284-01554d07f217 · outbound

This paper cites Frongillo.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Frongillo

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Observation 12f25b09-55a9-4b0f-9fcc-479bc1d86607 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Unresolved cited work

Reference 44

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Observation ad9f9da5-9008-4943-8932-81e4055f6532 · outbound

This paper cites Interpreting prediction markets: a stochastic approach.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Interpreting prediction markets: a stochastic approach

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Observation 81a4c6c0-e871-46a1-a639-253097e070e2 · outbound

This paper cites Efficient market making via convex optimization, and a connection to online learning.ACM Transactions on Economics and Computation, 1 (2), 2013.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Efficient market making via convex optimization, and a connection to online learning.ACM Transactions on Economics and Computation, 1 (2), 2013

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Observation 2174f314-af59-40eb-8077-f5b023295dd0 · outbound

This paper cites Multi-period trading prediction markets with connections to machine learning.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Multi-period trading prediction markets with connections to machine learning

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Observation 6ced80d0-79fc-425f-965c-1a28958005ce · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Unresolved cited work

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Observation 0148de12-db20-4601-8620-1201bd337e5d · outbound

This paper cites Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation

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Observation 3e40c2f3-adeb-4c66-bc0e-5761cffd5ffe · outbound

This paper cites Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial.Statistical science, 14(4):382–417, 1999.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial.Statistical science, 14(4):382–417, 1999

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Observation d90c41e9-de33-4b95-a236-0b1defb5479f · outbound

This paper cites A Characterization Theorem for Externally Bayesian Groups.The Annals of Statistics, 12(3):1100 – 1105, 1984.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms A Characterization Theorem for Externally Bayesian Groups.The Annals of Statistics, 12(3):1100 – 1105, 1984

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Observation d7a3dc98-bbc4-480f-810a-dc7678eab862 · outbound

This paper cites Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size

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Observation 510e53ea-4bf0-4758-92f1-edca7ab0473d · outbound

This paper cites The Llama 3 Herd of Models.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms The Llama 3 Herd of Models

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Observation 06bb4ff5-59db-4ab6-946a-8a01da8b9092 · outbound

This paper cites Aloe: A Family of Fine-tuned Open Healthcare LLMs.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Aloe: A Family of Fine-tuned Open Healthcare LLMs

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Observation a09f3e7b-7a08-48c3-a6ff-1f5e66247fdb · outbound

This paper cites BioMistral: A collection of open-source pretrained large language models for medical domains.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms BioMistral: A collection of open-source pretrained large language models for medical domains

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Observation 7a5800a0-6094-4502-815d-9ee245ade7ec · outbound

This paper cites PubMedQA: A dataset for biomedical research question answering.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms PubMedQA: A dataset for biomedical research question answering

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Observation 36e9c08d-cb0a-4026-b77a-d62328c21973 · outbound

This paper cites MedMCQA: A large-scale multi- subject multi-choice dataset for medical domain question answering.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms MedMCQA: A large-scale multi- subject multi-choice dataset for medical domain question answering

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Observation 267699d5-3a3f-4294-b124-0156698323e2 · outbound

This paper cites Measuring massive multitask language understanding.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Measuring massive multitask language understanding

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Observation 1e247864-32a2-4009-9fd0-6f46e5547c4d · outbound

This paper cites Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge

Reference 59

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z

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Observation 05cc256b-1dfd-4069-bcc3-264758f2eca7 · outbound

This paper cites Calibrating language models with adaptive temperature scaling.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Calibrating language models with adaptive temperature scaling

Reference 60

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Observation fdb77dc4-3d72-48c9-ac4f-ba93be775725 · outbound

This paper cites Improving cooperation in language games with bayesian inference and the cognitive hierarchy.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms Improving cooperation in language games with bayesian inference and the cognitive hierarchy

Reference 61

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z

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Observation 4f7564fe-ca8c-43c9-9778-332ab5ab656c · outbound

This paper cites The multiplicative weights update method: a meta- algorithm and applications.Theory of Computing, 8(6):121–164, 2012.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms The multiplicative weights update method: a meta- algorithm and applications.Theory of Computing, 8(6):121–164, 2012

Reference 62

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z

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Observation 13d504cf-7af9-4413-b850-f39726b9b777 · outbound

This paper cites yes,” “no,.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms yes,” “no,

Reference 63

Resolution: malformed identifier; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z

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