Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation

As of 19 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 48 of 48 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2608.10182.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2608.10182 v1

Coverage vector

measured 48 of 48 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.984416Z

measured 48 of 48 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

48 of 48 outbound references displayed

verified exact3
verified fuzzy5
unresolved39
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier1
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 8d1bd8bd-4923-479f-86b2-ac6d766cba56 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.860320Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 185b2477-cdd1-4ead-9418-81a6df989e6f · outbound

This paper cites The Collatz Conjecture & Non-Archimedean Spectral Theory: Part I -- Arithmetic Dynamical Systems and Non-Archimedean Value Distribution Theory.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation The Collatz Conjecture & Non-Archimedean Spectral Theory: Part I -- Arithmetic Dynamical Systems and Non-Archimedean Value Distribution Theory

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.803210Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6b4b03b5-66f5-427e-a440-f70bfbd5b455 · outbound

This paper cites Brown, and Constantine Caramanis.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Brown, and Constantine Caramanis

Reference 3

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.846105Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 1153158d-2053-4383-8a82-cb632ac83626 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.811679Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6c8b4ed8-4209-41cc-bb62-06997c5ff6e7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.823857Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 797309eb-cd5a-4add-b43e-c82671f4886a · outbound

This paper cites CausalML: Python Package for Causal Machine Learning.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation CausalML: Python Package for Causal Machine Learning

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.824584Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2f636bf7-019b-493c-99ff-b97750187f2e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.810168Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 23f4df6f-4df4-42a1-a3c4-f8d5953ceb4b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.833579Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1ae18d27-e382-4914-a8b9-008dd623b9c2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.842025Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b4a932c9-51ea-45c0-afad-0c55eab10cd4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.846654Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation a6216828-ace1-4d15-a908-127d52bedab5 · outbound

This paper cites On Inductive Biases for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation On Inductive Biases for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation

Reference 11

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.373498Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation c018808d-f800-477b-acce-e46cb7d5f96a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.763646Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 61109ad0-5354-4fad-b40b-93e0e6cac4fe · outbound

This paper cites BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.858459Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7cab2374-8671-45e2-8972-28c5c1fa3ce0 · outbound

This paper cites Learning to rank for uplift modeling.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Learning to rank for uplift modeling

Reference 14

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.334139Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation d8e96073-10eb-4a7a-89d3-72104bcf1639 · outbound

This paper cites 'In-Between' Uncertainty in Bayesian Neural Networks.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation 'In-Between' Uncertainty in Bayesian Neural Networks

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.866310Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 473219f0-6394-4ea8-a4ea-930657d54836 · outbound

This paper cites Webb, and Mahsa Salehi.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Webb, and Mahsa Salehi

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.870199Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 58337e6c-d402-497f-a132-0793e2b836ed · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.750441Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 1e55440d-4d66-43ff-9e30-e71728676b64 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.736705Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation b2cf1d0d-65a9-449e-9d20-997ba863b0e2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.722971Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation c0472775-57ce-42c9-bfd2-7e44d31b09cb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.709164Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 577e7f1a-b37b-4f5b-9a21-70e9ea2f9e13 · outbound

This paper cites Künzel, Jasjeet S.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Künzel, Jasjeet S

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.888873Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c5fcbd91-99b8-432e-adf6-97820aaacfc1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.893248Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7e147b3c-2e81-43f0-aba2-be8b2467fe1c · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.687038Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation de0effd3-db94-4802-aa5f-3c23c177ca28 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.673864Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 955b03a8-1bec-4faf-8c27-be06c7e54d80 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.659688Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation bce907eb-ce25-42b6-8d13-366c1dab56c8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.646207Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation c3dca6bf-c8ba-4faa-aec1-eb345f578c90 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.632450Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 1cba63bf-6249-44ab-a428-4f40bc9687e0 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.618011Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 16cd47ca-53ba-4494-a928-8b106e0b0567 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.604763Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation fcf5e149-4d3c-4f86-bba3-3a6b1536fce9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.590600Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 2b07fa89-6c08-4f31-9ee6-b88fcca5f450 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.575940Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 4d894979-df97-42d2-a391-f4f803c02ada · outbound

This paper cites Open Bandit Dataset and Pipeline: Towards Realistic and Reproducible Off-Policy Evaluation.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Open Bandit Dataset and Pipeline: Towards Realistic and Reproducible Off-Policy Evaluation

Reference 32

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.933176Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fc2e8e5f-086a-4522-bc6b-f50079cb3a4b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.560759Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation a595e26c-84f3-4a6c-bea6-4f849b852c40 · outbound

This paper cites Johansson, and David Sontag.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Johansson, and David Sontag

Reference 34

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.546567Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 83303dc3-d674-401c-adf9-e907aeb3364e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.532178Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 884910c8-a399-483a-bd6a-6bc7684bb25d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.517178Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 6a23f042-5997-4949-92e8-7716504b866b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.502915Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation f7089e6d-aac6-4e68-b233-8fc8c8a1e3fa · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 38

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.956614Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ad04ebec-3179-4ea7-91ca-5c23ecd17dfc · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 39

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.479987Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation b5c05412-e9f2-4b61-aebe-5679af6d9355 · outbound

This paper cites van der Laan and Daniel Rubin.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation van der Laan and Daniel Rubin

Reference 40

Resolution: malformed identifier; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.964748Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 78bf8d66-8ef0-4f84-b55b-5f777c524b7e · outbound

This paper cites Gomez, Lukasz Kaiser, and Illia Polosukhin.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Gomez, Lukasz Kaiser, and Illia Polosukhin

Reference 41

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.466237Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation f36d77e1-d7f8-4077-b2e2-fa1da8350207 · outbound

This paper cites The Deconfounded Recommender: A Causal Inference Approach to Recommendation.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation The Deconfounded Recommender: A Causal Inference Approach to Recommendation

Reference 42

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.972770Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0ff2d042-41df-49a5-91f5-d6c47b31b24c · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 43

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.451288Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation b69daf75-9509-430b-b129-1e44519c2353 · outbound

This paper cites Hamilton, and Jure Leskovec.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Hamilton, and Jure Leskovec

Reference 44

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.435686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 3dbb40e1-256c-42a1-bdfc-6f9774c37786 · outbound

This paper cites Neural Thompson Sampling.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Neural Thompson Sampling

Reference 45

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.984416Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ceea512a-d124-4dd6-9791-03a73d80edd6 · outbound

This paper cites Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks

Reference 2015

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:02.815704Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3d760d28-c261-4ab3-a96c-cc4f19f27724 · outbound

This paper cites InProceedings of the 1st Workshop on Deep Learning for Recommender Systems (DLRS 2016).

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation InProceedings of the 1st Workshop on Deep Learning for Recommender Systems (DLRS 2016)

Reference 2016

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.787463Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 13236313-c266-4b68-a6e6-117808945f6a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Prediction to Incrementality: Causal Optimization for Large-Scale Targeting and Recommendation Unresolved cited work

Reference 2026

Resolution: verified exact; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:17:03.292579Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.