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Predictions for new physics in the CMB damping tail

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arxiv 2503.20002 v2 pith:QPKC7ZQE submitted 2025-03-25 astro-ph.CO

classification astro-ph.CO
keywords datahubbledampingmechanismsmodelssometailtension
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

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abstract

Ever since the Planck satellite measured the the cosmic microwave background (CMB) down to arcminute angular scales, the mismatch between the CMB-inferred value of the Hubble constant and the value inferred from the distance ladder (i.e., the Hubble tension) has been a growing concern and is currently at the $\sim 6 \sigma$ level. There are a handful of proposed mechanisms operating in the early universe which have shown some promise in resolving the Hubble tension. These mechanisms are expected to leave a measurable impact on the smallest scale CMB anisotropy, deep in the damping tail. Using current CMB data, baryonic acoustic oscillation data, and the luminosities of Type Ia supernovae as a baseline, we compute the predicted small-scale CMB power spectra for a characteristic set of these models. We find that near-future CMB data should be able to distinguish some but not all of the investigated models from the core cosmological model, $\Lambda$CDM.

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Forward citations

Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. The $H_0$ world cup. II. A comprehensive competition between proposed Hubble tension solutions

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Against a common 2025-26 dataset (Planck PR4, ACT DR6, SPT-3G, DESI DR2, Pantheon+), early dark energy and early modified gravity models win the H0 competition (~3σ residual tension), while radiation and late-time sol...

  2. Impact of ACT DR6 and DESI DR2 for Early Dark Energy and the Hubble tension

    astro-ph.CO 2025-05 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    With ACT DR6 and DESI DR2, early dark energy still reconciles CMB and local Hubble measurements to about 2 sigma, and a profile likelihood shows prior-volume effects in Bayesian limits.

  3. The $H_0$ World Cup. I. Summary of the baseline group stage results

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    In a systematic head-to-head analysis, early dark energy and early modified gravity models reduce the Hubble tension to about 3σ and are favored over ΛCDM, while radiation and late-time alternatives are not.

  4. Alleviating the Hubble Tension via Cosmological Time Dilation in the meVSL Model

    physics.gen-ph 2025-09 reject novelty 3.0 of 10

    The meVSL model's parameter b reduces the baryon drag sound horizon, raising inferred H0, and changes the cosmological time-dilation exponent to n=1-b/4; the paper forecasts SN sample sizes to detect this.

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