Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models

As of 17 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 37 of 37 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2607.09921.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2607.09921 v1

Coverage vector

measured 37 of 37 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

measured 37 of 37 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

37 of 37 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved37
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 6b745c12-445b-445a-9799-fbeb570bd735 · outbound

This paper cites Aho and Jeffrey D.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Aho and Jeffrey D

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c8824f7e-89a5-4d3d-8c37-4429e2b226bd · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bbabdbe3-8198-43c9-ad6d-7ba5dbc28850 · outbound

This paper cites Chandra and Dexter C.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Chandra and Dexter C

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bd1e8fa9-d915-4371-806a-5384c73f5019 · outbound

This paper cites Scalable training of.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Scalable training of

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8f944355-8d2b-4faf-949f-2b7a309b222e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0239d3ba-e105-43fc-a205-fd032654188a · outbound

This paper cites Tetreault , title =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Tetreault , title =

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f3606b9f-a955-44fe-a99f-bde10df4bf33 · outbound

This paper cites A Framework for Learning Predictive Structures from Multiple Tasks and Unlabeled Data , Volume =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models A Framework for Learning Predictive Structures from Multiple Tasks and Unlabeled Data , Volume =

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 31145a5a-e5b6-418c-a2a9-f61b61346a43 · outbound

This paper cites NeurIPS , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models NeurIPS , year=

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 43564d57-4d8c-4672-9946-14f6eb8ac834 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 933f7eb3-6dc7-48b4-900a-c0686ec3888b · outbound

This paper cites 2012 , publisher=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models 2012 , publisher=

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b7d778a1-caa7-4ea3-a07e-e87d5ceb3da1 · outbound

This paper cites 2012 , edition =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models 2012 , edition =

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d2e30223-40e5-4f4e-8ad7-df132c932878 · outbound

This paper cites , title =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models , title =

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 74633a46-0d77-40ea-b716-65dfbccddda2 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Applied Meteorology , year =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Journal of Applied Meteorology , year =

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 79ef1923-812c-4bca-8704-352257fa1542 · outbound

This paper cites Omega , volume =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Omega , volume =

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7467f993-a5d9-40d6-8743-4fa8588d4421 · outbound

This paper cites Workshop on the Future of Event Detection (FuturED) at EMNLP , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Workshop on the Future of Event Detection (FuturED) at EMNLP , year=

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bdd7d3e1-73d0-4032-af25-cd147d783d99 · outbound

This paper cites Park and Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos and Philip E.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Park and Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos and Philip E

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 24d19abf-f833-46f5-980d-536084a4a174 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e00dc4a4-3314-4e1f-865a-dec0283c3d5e · outbound

This paper cites and Karger, Ezra and Trott, Sean and Tetlock, Philip E.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models and Karger, Ezra and Trott, Sean and Tetlock, Philip E

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1cb77ac4-a106-4547-b475-8179980141a6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9865e5fa-a46f-4a2d-a90f-7c0a617eab46 · outbound

This paper cites ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation af647dd4-452b-4827-9844-0d10dea41ce0 · outbound

This paper cites NeurIPS , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models NeurIPS , year=

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1d63681f-7382-4602-8076-386eb0e3df40 · outbound

This paper cites Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5b863881-3a0c-4cc7-a663-d78ecf3d7c9c · outbound

This paper cites NeurIPS , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models NeurIPS , year=

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7af55740-3045-4809-8594-c92e94661666 · outbound

This paper cites Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 15af4790-f64d-4ec5-88d9-e0039859ba9e · outbound

This paper cites Agentic Markets Workshop at ICML , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Agentic Markets Workshop at ICML , year=

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ef0cd678-4e04-40a8-a908-a006022fd7e0 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.17989 , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.17989 , year=

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ccd26539-4e9b-400a-b1ed-9df21a39b827 · outbound

This paper cites EMNLP , year=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models EMNLP , year=

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d9dba437-ad6c-462b-9e9f-d6e971816f3b · outbound

This paper cites Alignment Problems With Current Forecasting Platforms.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Alignment Problems With Current Forecasting Platforms

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b21c81e3-62d8-49c7-b7f0-b698e1253cec · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 22nd international conference on Machine learning , pages=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Proceedings of the 22nd international conference on Machine learning , pages=

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 24c4a3a0-9182-4805-a5f5-f5bf05f5dcce · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Finance , volume=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Journal of Finance , volume=

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0f123ba8-9421-4f8a-9014-80a98bc220c0 · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , journal=.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models 2024 , journal=

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 27da4bb6-7812-46f7-b3ef-f29e28cfe643 · outbound

This paper cites Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback

Reference 32

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2f8b1cc0-a153-4fc6-8294-ce80aaf1f77e · outbound

This paper cites ICLR , year =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models ICLR , year =

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation cf4e46e4-ad78-44da-8548-b9f4826a0646 · outbound

This paper cites Improve Mathematical Reasoning in Language Models by Automated Process Supervision.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Improve Mathematical Reasoning in Language Models by Automated Process Supervision

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c46504d2-2098-48e3-b513-d8bc382c3792 · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence , year =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence , year =

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c9023a7e-7c1a-4274-b638-1ac2ac0861ce · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Machine Learning , year =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Machine Learning , year =

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 430ff5c8-f3df-4edd-abee-319240198f05 · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence , year =.

Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence , year =

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T14:36:29.370385Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.