Pith Number

pith:O7F3F2DT

pith:2020:O7F3F2DTCXTWTVQGS2NBUIBCEY

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Can Two Forecasts Have the Same Conditional Expected Accuracy?

Allan Timmermann, Yinchu Zhu

arxiv:2006.03238 v2 · 2020-06-05 · stat.ME

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{O7F3F2DTCXTWTVQGS2NBUIBCEY}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

Sequential Scoring Rule Evaluation for Forecast Method Selection

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T04:49:41.131840Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

77cbb2e87315e769d606969a1a202226002778286bcc725ba15166aabe902856

Aliases

arxiv: 2006.03238 · arxiv_version: 2006.03238v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2006.03238 · pith_short_12: O7F3F2DTCXTW · pith_short_16: O7F3F2DTCXTWTVQG · pith_short_8: O7F3F2DT

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/O7F3F2DTCXTWTVQGS2NBUIBCEY \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 77cbb2e87315e769d606969a1a202226002778286bcc725ba15166aabe902856

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "6a6cbe16793de3b63ed8412c428f48ac9230c20cedb403e0c79735d949809b2a",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "stat.ME",
    "submitted_at": "2020-06-05T05:24:05Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "29b723002313a95ab8a3e6a9db70f0995bdb3d3ef6bad0f61cb4cbf7e374502d"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2006.03238",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}