Pith Number

pith:ST4UUKND

pith:2025:ST4UUKNDGKAY4SGL2WOO76OAO2

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Bayesian Forecast Combination with Predictive Priors via Particle Filtering

Xiaorui Luo, Xue Luo, Yanfei Kang

arxiv:2508.07136 v2 · 2025-08-10 · stat.ME

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{ST4UUKNDGKAY4SGL2WOO76OAO2}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T11:58:34.239668Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

94f94a29a332818e48cbd59ceff9c076aae2dd64be7bc0f0ba59ef27e1b5f53d

Aliases

arxiv: 2508.07136 · arxiv_version: 2508.07136v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2508.07136 · pith_short_12: ST4UUKNDGKAY · pith_short_16: ST4UUKNDGKAY4SGL · pith_short_8: ST4UUKND

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/ST4UUKNDGKAY4SGL2WOO76OAO2 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 94f94a29a332818e48cbd59ceff9c076aae2dd64be7bc0f0ba59ef27e1b5f53d

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "e974cd973332298dfcab4dbe23c4a4af5bb8d9f8d34be467eb94afbb55db8a92",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "stat.ME",
    "submitted_at": "2025-08-10T01:29:27Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "a4ab8ab3fb593f747faded8cc7b913097199ed8227926660e3370630aac9679d"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2508.07136",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}