Bayesian analysis of LISA EMRIs in AGN disks constrains disk surface density and accretion rate to ~10% using relativistic torque models, invalidating Fisher-matrix forecasts and enabling dark-siren cosmology without EM counterparts.
Astrophys.] 10.1051/0004-6361/202557029 , 707, A89
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Gotta light? Illuminating AGN disks with LISA EMRIs
Bayesian analysis of LISA EMRIs in AGN disks constrains disk surface density and accretion rate to ~10% using relativistic torque models, invalidating Fisher-matrix forecasts and enabling dark-siren cosmology without EM counterparts.