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NimbusGuard: A Novel Framework for Proactive Kubernetes Autoscaling Using Deep Q-Networks

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abstract

Cloud native architecture is about building and running scalable microservice applications to take full advantage of the cloud environments. Managed Kubernetes is the powerhouse orchestrating cloud native applications with elastic scaling. However, traditional Kubernetes autoscalers are reactive, meaning the scaling controllers adjust resources only after they detect demand within the cluster and do not incorporate any predictive measures. This can lead to either over-provisioning and increased costs or under-provisioning and performance degradation. We propose NimbusGuard, an open-source, Kubernetes-based autoscaling system that leverages a deep reinforcement learning agent to provide proactive autoscaling. The agents perception is augmented by a Long Short-Term Memory model that forecasts future workload patterns. The evaluations were conducted by comparing NimbusGuard against the built-in scaling controllers, such as Horizontal Pod Autoscaler, and the event-driven autoscaler KEDA. The experimental results demonstrate how NimbusGuard's proactive framework translates into superior performance and cost efficiency compared to existing reactive methods.

fields

cs.DC 1

years

2026 1

verdicts

UNVERDICTED 1

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  • ADAPT: A Self-Calibrating Proactive Autoscaler for Container Orchestration cs.DC · 2026-05-15 · unverdicted · none · ref 7 · internal anchor

    ADAPT uses an EWMA estimator for cold-start durations to set a dynamic horizon in an MPC-based proactive autoscaler, achieving under 5% SLA violations with MPC+LSTM across tested workloads versus higher rates for HPA and MPC+Prophet.