A novel observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for mesoscale convective systems improves spatiotemporal scales of tropical precipitation and ensemble spread in NWP models compared to prior MCSP schemes.
Advancing organized convection representation in the Unified Model: Implementing and enhancing multiscale coherent structure parameterization
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An observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for organized deep convection in an NWP ensemble
A novel observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for mesoscale convective systems improves spatiotemporal scales of tropical precipitation and ensemble spread in NWP models compared to prior MCSP schemes.