A new framework quantifies faithful confidence expression in large reasoning models by comparing linguistic decisiveness to token probabilities, hidden states, and response consistency, revealing it as a persistent challenge.
Consistency in interpretation of probabilistic phrases.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 36(3):391–405, 1985
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Quantifying Faithful Confidence Expression in Large Reasoning Models
A new framework quantifies faithful confidence expression in large reasoning models by comparing linguistic decisiveness to token probabilities, hidden states, and response consistency, revealing it as a persistent challenge.