Distributional autoencoders trained on climate model simulations model full conditional distributions of European temperature fields to enable probabilistic storyline attribution, illustrated by higher intensities and probability ratios for a 2003-like heatwave in 2028 and 2053.
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Probabilistic storyline attribution using machine learning
Distributional autoencoders trained on climate model simulations model full conditional distributions of European temperature fields to enable probabilistic storyline attribution, illustrated by higher intensities and probability ratios for a 2003-like heatwave in 2028 and 2053.