Extends classical credibility theory to stochastic mortality models, producing sub-population predictors as weighted averages of super- and sub-population forecasts with explicit quadratic error formulas.
Evaluating and extending the Lee–Carter model for mortality forecasting: Bootstrap confidence interval
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A review categorizing Bayesian inference methods for ERGMs and discussing extensions for missing data, longitudinal dynamics, populations of networks, and weighted networks.
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Forecasting sub-population mortality using credibility theory
Extends classical credibility theory to stochastic mortality models, producing sub-population predictors as weighted averages of super- and sub-population forecasts with explicit quadratic error formulas.
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Bayesian perspectives on exponential random graph models
A review categorizing Bayesian inference methods for ERGMs and discussing extensions for missing data, longitudinal dynamics, populations of networks, and weighted networks.