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What does ChatGPT make of historical stock returns? Extrapolation and miscalibration in LLM stock return forecasts

2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.

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2026 2

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UNVERDICTED 2

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Debiasing LLMs by Fine-tuning

q-fin.GN · 2026-04-03 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

Supervised fine-tuning with LoRA on rational benchmark forecasts corrects extrapolation bias out-of-sample in LLM predictions for controlled experiments and cross-sectional stock returns.

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