NeuralTFR neural network produces lower point-forecast errors than BayesTFR on 2009-2023 data and projects broader exposure to low and very low fertility globally by 2040.
Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950--2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021
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Anticipating Continued Global Fertility Decline via Neural Forecasting
NeuralTFR neural network produces lower point-forecast errors than BayesTFR on 2009-2023 data and projects broader exposure to low and very low fertility globally by 2040.