A novel observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for mesoscale convective systems improves spatiotemporal scales of tropical precipitation and ensemble spread in NWP models compared to prior MCSP schemes.
Simulation, modeling, and dynamically based parameterization of organized tropical convection for global climate models
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An observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for organized deep convection in an NWP ensemble
A novel observationally constrained probabilistic trigger for mesoscale convective systems improves spatiotemporal scales of tropical precipitation and ensemble spread in NWP models compared to prior MCSP schemes.