Expected Threat model error follows an approximate log-normal distribution, enabling rules of thumb for reliable use in football player evaluation despite unobservable ground truth.
In: Proceedings of the 7th Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics, pp
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Model quality in football: Quantifying the quality of an Expected Threat model
Expected Threat model error follows an approximate log-normal distribution, enabling rules of thumb for reliable use in football player evaluation despite unobservable ground truth.