Non-collapsible marginal effect measures depend on joint distributions of effect modifiers and prognostic variables, so unadjusted anchored indirect comparisons can be biased even without individual-level treatment effect heterogeneity.
On effect-measure modification: Relationships among changes in the relative risk, odds ratio, and risk difference.Statistics in Medicine2008; 27(18): 3453–3465
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Transportability of model-based estimands in evidence synthesis
Non-collapsible marginal effect measures depend on joint distributions of effect modifiers and prognostic variables, so unadjusted anchored indirect comparisons can be biased even without individual-level treatment effect heterogeneity.