Poisson regression yields more stable forecasts for sparse vulnerability sightings than SARIMAX models, with severity scores from text models providing only limited gains.
Vulnerability forecasting: Theory and practice.Digital Threats, 3(4), March 2022
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Modeling Sparse and Bursty Vulnerability Sightings: Forecasting Under Data Constraints
Poisson regression yields more stable forecasts for sparse vulnerability sightings than SARIMAX models, with severity scores from text models providing only limited gains.